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Camacha vs CDC Montalegre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Co K.
56' Event
Edu Machado
67' Event
Edu Machado

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 game between Camacha and CDC Montalegre finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CDC Montalegre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Camacha
35%
Draws
24%
CDC Montalegre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Camacha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • CDC Montalegre haven't matched Camacha's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors CDC Montalegre here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Camacha Clean Sheet 68%
CDC Montalegre Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Camacha CDC Montalegre
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 12 12
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.4 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Camacha vs CDC Montalegre
1:2
Sep 17, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CDC Montalegre vs Camacha
2:0
May 7, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Camacha vs CDC Montalegre
1:0
Mar 19, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CDC Montalegre vs Camacha
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Camacha Compare

Top Goalscorer Co K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

CDC Montalegre Compare

Top Goalscorer Edu Machado
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camacha 41 / 100
CDC Montalegre 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Camacha CDC Montalegre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Camacha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Camacha found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (35 games).

CDC Montalegre let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Camacha stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Camacha VS CDC Montalegre
1.63 Goals Scored 0.83
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.67
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Camacha

(Home)
27 Sept
Camacha
0 : 1
Florgrade
13 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 2
Camacha
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Camacha
Page 1 of 7

CDC Montalegre

(Away)
13 Sept
CDC Montalegre
1 : 1
Maia Lidador
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2
CDC Montalegre
30 Aug
CDC Montalegre
0 : 1
Ponte da Barca
23 Aug
CDC Montalegre
2 : 0
Brito
16 Aug
Celoricense
0 : 0
CDC Montalegre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 26 12 9 5 35:27 45
2 Pevidem 26 11 11 4 31:22 44
3 Tirsense 26 12 7 7 37:24 43
4 Camacha 26 11 5 10 36:30 38
5 Brito 26 10 8 8 26:26 38
6 Dumiense 26 9 8 9 30:32 35
7 Os Sandinenses 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 8 11 7 24:22 35
9 Maritimo B 26 10 5 11 34:26 35
10 CDC Montalegre 26 8 10 8 25:31 34
11 Vilar de Perdizes 26 7 10 9 29:32 31
12 CD Portosantense 26 6 9 11 22:27 27
13 SC Mirandela 26 6 6 14 25:37 24
14 Ribeirao 26 5 8 13 19:37 20
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)