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Camacha vs Gondomar

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Bacem N.
90' Event
Vieirinha D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 game between Camacha and Gondomar finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Camacha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Camacha
35%
Draws
20%
Gondomar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Camacha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Gondomar haven't matched Camacha's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Camacha's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Camacha Clean Sheet 68%
Gondomar Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Camacha Gondomar
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.31 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.09 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Gondomar vs Camacha
0:0
Dec 8, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Camacha vs Gondomar
2:0
Mar 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Gondomar vs Camacha
2:1
Dec 4, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Camacha vs Gondomar
0:2
Feb 4, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Camacha vs Gondomar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Camacha Compare

Top Goalscorer Bacem N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Gondomar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camacha 50 / 100
Gondomar 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Camacha Gondomar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Camacha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Camacha stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Camacha scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Gondomar let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Camacha VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Camacha

(Home)
13 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 2
Camacha
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Camacha
16 Aug
Camacha
1 : 1
SC Salgueiros
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Gondomar

(Away)
13 Apr
Gondomar
0 : 0
Coimbroes
06 Apr
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Gondomar
29 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 0
Camacha
16 Mar
Regua
0 : 1
Gondomar
09 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 2
Leca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)