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Camacha vs Sao Martinho Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Fati V.
43' Event
Abreu E.
45' Event
Andrade R.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 game between Camacha and Sao Martinho finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Camacha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Camacha
20%
Draws
33%
Sao Martinho
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Camacha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Martinho have managed 0.87 goals a game lately — Camacha are scoring more at 1.24.
  • Model gives Camacha a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Camacha Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Martinho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Camacha Sao Martinho
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 4
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.24 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Camacha vs Sao Martinho
3:0
Nov 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sao Martinho vs Camacha
2:1
Mar 14, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sao Martinho vs Camacha
0:0
Dec 20, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Camacha vs Sao Martinho
0:0
Dec 11, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Camacha vs Sao Martinho
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Camacha Compare

Top Goalscorer Fati V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abreu E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Sao Martinho Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camacha 68 / 100
Sao Martinho 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Camacha Sao Martinho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Camacha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Camacha scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Sao Martinho let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Camacha stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Camacha VS Sao Martinho
1.5 Goals Scored 0.83
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.17
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Camacha

(Home)
27 Sept
Camacha
0 : 1
Florgrade
13 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 2
Camacha
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Camacha
Page 1 of 6

Sao Martinho

(Away)
18 Apr
Sao Martinho
3 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
12 Apr
SC Mirandela
2 : 0
Sao Martinho
04 Apr
Sao Martinho
2 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
22 Mar
Celoricense
0 : 0
Sao Martinho
15 Mar
Sao Martinho
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)