Sport Picks

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Camacha vs SC Mirandela

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Belo A.

AI Match Summary

Camacha in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Camacha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Camacha
15%
Draws
32%
SC Mirandela
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Camacha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Camacha average 1.23 goals a game right now, well clear of SC Mirandela's 0.77.
  • Model gives Camacha a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 78.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Camacha Clean Sheet 68%
SC Mirandela Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Camacha SC Mirandela
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 10 2
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.23 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.24 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Camacha vs SC Mirandela
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Mirandela vs Camacha
1:0
Mar 17, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Mirandela vs Camacha
2:3
Dec 3, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Camacha vs SC Mirandela
1:0
Apr 10, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Camacha vs SC Mirandela
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Camacha Compare

Top Goalscorer Belo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.62

SC Mirandela Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camacha 59 / 100
SC Mirandela 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Camacha SC Mirandela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Camacha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Camacha found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: SC Mirandela conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Camacha stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Camacha VS SC Mirandela
1.63 Goals Scored 0.86
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.86
100% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Camacha

(Home)
27 Sept
Camacha
0 : 1
Florgrade
13 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 2
Camacha
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Camacha
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SC Mirandela

(Away)
18 Apr
Brito
2 : 0
SC Mirandela
12 Apr
SC Mirandela
2 : 0
Sao Martinho
04 Apr
SC Vianense
1 : 0
SC Mirandela
22 Mar
SC Mirandela
0 : 1
Tirsense
15 Mar
Chaves B
1 : 2
SC Mirandela
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)