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Camaiore Calcio vs Grosseto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Tabarrani M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Camaiore Calcio in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Camaiore Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Camaiore Calcio
33%
Draws
40%
Grosseto
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Grosseto lately — more wins on the board than Camaiore Calcio.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Grosseto taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Camaiore Calcio Clean Sheet 15%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Camaiore Calcio Grosseto
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 20
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.86 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Camaiore Calcio vs Grosseto
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Camaiore Calcio
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camaiore Calcio 27 / 100
Grosseto 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Camaiore Calcio Grosseto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Camaiore Calcio's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Grosseto's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Grosseto has conceded goals in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Camaiore Calcio VS Grosseto
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.25
71% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Camaiore Calcio

(Home)
10 May
Follonica Gavorrano
3 : 2
Camaiore Calcio
03 May
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0
Camaiore Calcio
26 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
2 : 5
Siena
19 Apr
Terranuova Traiana
2 : 1
Camaiore Calcio
12 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
1 : 1
Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 6

Grosseto

(Away)
29 Jul
Grosseto
1 : 2
San Donato Tavarnelle
17 May
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 1
Grosseto
13 May
Grosseto
2 : 3
Ostiamare
02 May
Ghiviborgo
0 : 3
Grosseto
26 Apr
Grosseto
0 : 2
San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosseto34226658:2572
2Tau34189753:3363
3Prato34205949:2963
4Siena34179857:3560
5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:2957
6Terranuova Traiana341491128:3051
7Foligno341491145:3751
8Scandicci341115839:3248
9Montevarchi341016828:3246
10Sporting Trestina3410121240:4242
11San Donato Tavarnelle349131230:3540
12Ghiviborgo3410101442:4440
13Orvietana349111433:3738
14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:4937
15Camaiore Calcio34981741:5435
16Poggibonsi347101729:4631
17Cannara34682024:5926
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro342161620:4622
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)