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Camaiore Calcio vs Grosseto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Tabarrani M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Camaiore Calcio in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Camaiore Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Camaiore Calcio
35%
Draws
52%
Grosseto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Grosseto lately — more wins on the board than Camaiore Calcio.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Grosseto taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Camaiore Calcio Clean Sheet 15%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Camaiore Calcio Grosseto
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.23 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.53 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Camaiore Calcio vs Grosseto
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Camaiore Calcio
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camaiore Calcio 11 / 100
Grosseto 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Camaiore Calcio Grosseto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grosseto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Camaiore Calcio's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Grosseto conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Camaiore Calcio has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Camaiore Calcio VS Grosseto
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Camaiore Calcio

(Home)
10 May
Follonica Gavorrano
3 : 2
Camaiore Calcio
03 May
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0
Camaiore Calcio
26 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
2 : 5
Siena
19 Apr
Terranuova Traiana
2 : 1
Camaiore Calcio
12 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
1 : 1
Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 6

Grosseto

(Away)
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4
Grosseto
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0
Grosseto
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)