Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Camaiore Calcio vs Siena

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Andolfi T.
41' Event
Magazzu L.
43' Event
Accorsini L.

AI Match Summary

Siena in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Camaiore Calcio
35%
Draws
52%
Siena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Siena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Siena have won more games recently than Camaiore Calcio.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Siena taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Camaiore Calcio Clean Sheet 10%
Siena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Camaiore Calcio Siena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Camaiore Calcio vs Siena
2:5
Dec 15, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Camaiore Calcio
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Camaiore Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Magazzu L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Accorsini L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Siena Compare

Top Goalscorer Andolfi T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Giannetti N.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camaiore Calcio 10 / 100
Siena 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Camaiore Calcio Siena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Camaiore Calcio found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Siena has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Camaiore Calcio remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Camaiore Calcio VS Siena
1.25 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Camaiore Calcio

(Home)
10 May
Follonica Gavorrano
3 : 2
Camaiore Calcio
03 May
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0
Camaiore Calcio
26 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
2 : 5
Siena
19 Apr
Terranuova Traiana
2 : 1
Camaiore Calcio
12 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
1 : 1
Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 6

Siena

(Away)
31 Jul
Siena
2 : 0
Scandicci
10 May
Prato
3 : 1
Siena
03 May
Siena
4 : 4
Sporting Trestina
26 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
2 : 5
Siena
19 Apr
Siena
0 : 0
Montevarchi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)