Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022

Santa Marta Penaguiao

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Camara de Lobos play Santa Marta Penaguiao in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Camara de Lobos averaged 1.12 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. Santa Marta Penaguiao averaged 0.81 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. In past meetings, Camara de Lobos won 1, Santa Marta Penaguiao won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 2, 2022 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Camara de Lobos and 1.69 for Santa Marta Penaguiao. This points to a Santa Marta Penaguiao double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Camara de Lobos

17%

Draws

46%

Santa Marta Penaguiao

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Santa Marta Penaguiao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Camara de Lobos picked up more points recently compared to Santa Marta Penaguiao.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Camara de Lobos Clean Sheet 13%

Santa Marta Penaguiao Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Camara de Lobos	Santa Marta Penaguiao
Matches Played	26	27
Wins	5	6
Draws	3	6
Losses	18	15
Goals Scored	1.12	0.81
Goals Conceded	2.23	1.74
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.63	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Santa Marta Penaguiao vs Camara de Lobos

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 3 - 3

1:3

Apr 3, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Camara de Lobos vs Santa Marta Penaguiao

Possession: 46% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camara de Lobos 36 / 100

Santa Marta Penaguiao 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Camara de Lobos Santa Marta Penaguiao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Santa Marta Penaguiao or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Camara de Lobos attacking → ← attacking Santa Marta Penaguiao

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Camara de Lobos scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Santa Marta Penaguiao let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Camara de Lobos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Santa Marta Penaguiao lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 24

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00