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Cambados vs Noia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Regueiro Otero M.
54' Event
Javi Muino
90' Event
Kante J.

AI Match Summary

Noia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Noia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Cambados
15%
Draws
85%
Noia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Noia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Noia lately — more wins on the board than Cambados.
  • Model gives Noia a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Cambados Clean Sheet 16%
Noia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambados Noia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 5
Draws 12 6
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.77 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cambados vs Noia
0:3
Dec 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Noia vs Cambados
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambados Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Noia Compare

Top Goalscorer Regueiro Otero M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Javi Muino
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambados 23 / 100
Noia 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambados Noia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Noia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Noia conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Noia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Cambados's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cambados VS Noia
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambados

(Home)
10 May
Montaneros
4 : 1
Cambados
02 May
Cambados
0 : 2
Arosa SC
25 Apr
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 0
Cambados
19 Apr
Cambados
0 : 3
Noia
12 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
2 : 0
Cambados
Page 1 of 6

Noia

(Away)
10 May
Noia
1 : 5
Gran Pena
03 May
Silva SD
5 : 2
Noia
25 Apr
Noia
3 : 0
Celtiga
19 Apr
Cambados
0 : 3
Noia
12 Apr
Noia
0 : 2
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)