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Cambodia vs Myanmar

Asia Asia

FIFA ASEAN Cup
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
07:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FIFA ASEAN Cup. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Cambodia at 1.48 goals for, 1.61 against; Myanmar at 1.48 for, 2.55 against. Past meetings favor Myanmar slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 12, 2018, ending 4:1. xG projections (2.19 - 1.50) back Myanmar to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cambodia
15%
Draws
42%
Myanmar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cambodia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Myanmar haven't matched Cambodia's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Myanmar taking it.
  • Cambodia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Myanmar, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Myanmar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Cambodia Clean Sheet 16%
Myanmar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambodia Myanmar
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.48 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2018 ASEAN Championship
Myanmar vs Cambodia
4:1
Nov 9, 2017 Friendly International
Cambodia vs Myanmar
1:2
Nov 23, 2016 ASEAN Championship
Myanmar vs Cambodia
3:1
Jun 5, 2015 Friendly International
Cambodia vs Myanmar
1:0
Oct 18, 2014 ASEAN Championship
Cambodia vs Myanmar
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambodia 19 / 100
Myanmar 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambodia Myanmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Myanmar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Myanmar conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Cambodia's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Myanmar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cambodia VS Myanmar
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambodia

(Home)
07 Aug
Vietnam
3 : 1
Cambodia
03 Aug
Cambodia
3 : 0
Timor-Leste
27 Jul
Indonesia
5 : 1
Cambodia
24 Jul
Cambodia
1 : 2
Singapore
09 Jun
Cambodia
2 : 0
Hong Kong
Page 1 of 7

Myanmar

(Away)
08 Aug
Thailand
2 : 0
Myanmar
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
28 Jul
Philippines
1 : 4
Myanmar
25 Jul
Myanmar
1 : 2
Malaysia
18 Jul
Vietnam
4 : 0
Myanmar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Hong Kong 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Brunei 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 2 - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambodia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Myanmar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Timor-Leste 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 2 - Play Offs)