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Camboriu vs Blumenau

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2 2025 Estádio Emília Mendes Rodrigues, Vila Nova-Imbituba
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Match Events

38' Event
Nilton

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Camboriu advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Camboriu
20%
Draws
29%
Blumenau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Camboriu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Camboriu come out ahead of Blumenau on wins alone.
  • Camboriu are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Camboriu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Camboriu, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Camboriu have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Camboriu Clean Sheet 11%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Camboriu Blumenau
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2025 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Camboriu
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 Catarinense 2
Camboriu vs Blumenau
1:0
Jun 7, 2025 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Camboriu
2:1
Jun 8, 2024 Catarinense 2
Camboriu vs Blumenau
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Camboriu Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Blumenau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camboriu 35 / 100
Blumenau 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Camboriu Blumenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Camboriu scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Blumenau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Camboriu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Blumenau
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Camboriu

(Home)
07 Mar
Criciuma
4 : 2
Camboriu
04 Mar
Camboriu
1 : 0
Criciuma
28 Feb
Camboriu
1 : 0
Avai
21 Feb
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 0
Camboriu
15 Feb
Camboriu
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Page 1 of 6

Blumenau

(Away)
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1
Santa Catarina
25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Blumenau
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Blumenau -
TBD -
Gremio Juventus 2
Camboriu 3
Carlos Renaux -
TBD -
CA Metropolitano 2
Tubarao 0
Semi-finals
Blumenau 1
Camboriu 3
Carlos Renaux 3
CA Metropolitano 2
Final
Camboriu 1
Carlos Renaux 3