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Camboriu vs Chapecoense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Estádio Orlando Scarpelli, Florianópolis
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Nilton
12' Event
Mansur
20'
Souza E.

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense game between Camboriu and Chapecoense-SC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Camboriu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Camboriu
20%
Draws
29%
Chapecoense-SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Camboriu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Camboriu come out ahead of Chapecoense-SC on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Camboriu taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Camboriu Clean Sheet 68%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Camboriu Chapecoense-SC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Catarinense
Camboriu vs Chapecoense-SC
2:0
Feb 9, 2023 Catarinense
Chapecoense-SC vs Camboriu
3:1
Feb 20, 2022 Catarinense
Chapecoense-SC vs Camboriu
1:1
Mar 12, 2016 Catarinense
Chapecoense-SC vs Camboriu
4:0
Feb 3, 2016 Catarinense
Camboriu vs Chapecoense-SC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Camboriu Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilton
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mansur
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Chapecoense-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camboriu 59 / 100
Chapecoense-SC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Camboriu Chapecoense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Camboriu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chapecoense-SC conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Camboriu scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Camboriu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chapecoense-SC
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Camboriu

(Home)
07 Mar
Criciuma
4 : 2
Camboriu
04 Mar
Camboriu
1 : 0
Criciuma
28 Feb
Camboriu
1 : 0
Avai
21 Feb
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 0
Camboriu
15 Feb
Camboriu
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
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Chapecoense-SC

(Away)
30 Aug
Gremio
3 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
23 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 0
Sao Paulo
16 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
3 : 3
Bahia
08 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
05 Aug
Cruzeiro
2 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 6 3 3 0 9:6 12
2 Avai 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
3 Camboriu 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
4 Concordia 6 2 1 3 5:10 7
5 Marcilio Dias 6 2 0 4 6:6 6
6 Joinville 6 0 1 5 3:14 1
Promotion - Catarinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Catarinense (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Catarina 6 3 3 0 10:5 12
2 Chapecoense-SC 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
3 Criciuma 6 3 2 1 10:8 11
4 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 6 3 0 3 8:5 9
5 Figueirense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Carlos Renaux 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Catarinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Catarinense (Relegation Group)