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Cambrian United vs Abertillery Bluebirds - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Keetch C.
20' Event
Keetch C.
30' Event
John I.

AI Match Summary

Cambrian United in this Cymru South 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cambrian United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cambrian United
15%
Draws
0%
Abertillery Bluebirds
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cambrian United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Cambrian United have won more games recently than Abertillery Bluebirds.
  • Cambrian United are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Cymru South 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 68%
Abertillery Bluebirds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambrian United Abertillery Bluebirds
Matches Played 40 29
Wins 28 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 2.38 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2024 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Abertillery Bluebirds
5:2
Aug 12, 2023 Cymru South
Abertillery Bluebirds vs Cambrian United
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambrian United Compare

Top Goalscorer Keetch C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vincent D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Abertillery Bluebirds Compare

Top Goalscorer John I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambrian United 77 / 100
Abertillery Bluebirds 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambrian United Abertillery Bluebirds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cambrian United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambrian United's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Abertillery Bluebirds's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Abertillery Bluebirds registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cambrian United VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambrian United

(Home)
03 Oct
TNS
9 : 0
Cambrian United
26 Sept
Cambrian United
4 : 3
Llandudno FC
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1
Cambrian United
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4
Cambrian United
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 8

Abertillery Bluebirds

(Away)
21 Sept
New Inn
2 : 1
Abertillery Bluebirds
20 Apr
Abertillery Bluebirds
2 : 5
Afan Lido
16 Apr
Caerau Ely
5 : 3
Abertillery Bluebirds
13 Apr
Abertillery Bluebirds
0 : 7
Ammanford Town
29 Mar
Cambrian United
5 : 2
Abertillery Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Briton Ferry 30 23 2 5 87:39 71
2 Llanelli 30 20 4 6 80:40 64
3 Ammanford Town 30 17 6 7 60:42 57
4 Cambrian United 30 14 8 8 60:37 50
5 Caerau Ely 30 15 4 11 72:60 49
6 Carmarthen Town 30 12 11 7 50:39 47
7 Afan Lido 30 14 4 12 68:56 46
8 Goytre Utd 30 12 7 11 58:59 43
9 Cwmbran Celtic 30 12 6 12 69:64 42
10 Baglan Dragons 30 11 8 11 46:41 41
11 Trefelin 30 10 8 12 47:63 38
12 Llantwit Major 30 9 8 13 44:54 35
13 Taffs Well 30 8 8 14 44:49 32
14 Pontardawe 30 8 8 14 52:70 32
15 Abertillery Bluebirds 30 3 6 21 34:94 15
16 Abergavenny Town 30 2 2 26 20:84 8
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2024/2025 (Main)