Sport Picks
Cambrian United vs Baglan Dragons
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 
Match Events
15'
15'
Fox J.
85'
85'
Bonthron A.
AI Match Summary
Cambrian United in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cambrian United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cambrian United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Cambrian United have won more games recently than Baglan Dragons.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 20%
Baglan Dragons Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cambrian United | Baglan Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Baglan Dragons
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Cambrian United
0:1
Jan 8, 2025 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Baglan Dragons
0:0
Oct 12, 2024 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Cambrian United
4:1
Jan 6, 2024 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Cambrian United
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cambrian United Compare
Top Goalscorer Fox J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bonthron A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Baglan Dragons Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cambrian United 32 / 100
Baglan Dragons 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cambrian United Baglan Dragons
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cambrian United scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Baglan Dragons conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Cambrian United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cambrian United VS Baglan Dragons
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Cambrian United
(Home) 26 Sept
Cambrian United
4 : 3 Llandudno FC
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cambrian United
4 : 3 Llandudno FC
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2 Penybont
14 Aug
Cambrian United
1 : 0 Flint Town
07 Aug
Cambrian United
1 : 1 Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 3
Baglan Dragons
(Away) 25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1 Baglan Dragons
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1 Afan Lido
31 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 1 Caerphilly
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1 Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1 Baglan Dragons
21 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1 Baglan Dragons
15 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 1 Baglan Dragons
31 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
0 : 0 Baglan Dragons
03 Apr
Cambrian United
2 : 0 Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)
