Sport Picks
Cambrian United vs Penybont
Wales
Cymru Premier M&P Group 3G, Tonypandy 
Match Events
21'
21'
Bright H.
30'
30'
Venables C.
30'
30'
Eason L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Cymru Premier matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penybont
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Cambrian United lately — more wins on the board than Penybont.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Penybont have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 10%
Penybont Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cambrian United | Penybont |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 23 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.21 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 Cymru Premier
Cambrian United vs Penybont
2:2
Nov 21, 2025 FAW Welsh Cup
Cambrian United vs Penybont
1:3
Sep 24, 2021 FAW Welsh Cup
Cambrian United vs Penybont
1:3
Jul 12, 2021 Club Friendly
Cambrian United vs Penybont
3:5
Mar 30, 2019 Division 1
Cambrian United vs Penybont
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cambrian United Compare
Top Goalscorer Eason L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Edwards D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Penybont Compare
Top Goalscorer Hill R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Phillips I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cambrian United 34 / 100
Penybont 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cambrian United Penybont
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Penybont Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cambrian United's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.60 goals.
Defensive concern: Penybont conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Cambrian United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cambrian United VS Penybont
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cambrian United
(Home) 26 Sept
Cambrian United
4 : 3 Llandudno FC
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Cambrian United
4 : 3 Llandudno FC
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2 Penybont
14 Aug
Cambrian United
1 : 0 Flint Town
07 Aug
Cambrian United
1 : 1 Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 4
Penybont
(Away) 26 Sept
Penybont
2 : 1 Airbus UK Broughton FC
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5 Penybont
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2 Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0 Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5 Penybont
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2 Penybont
14 Aug
Haverfordwest
0 : 3 Penybont
07 Aug
Caernarfon
1 : 2 Penybont
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 29:5 | 31 |
| 2 | Penybont | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22:9 | 27 |
| 3 | Connahs Q. | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:14 | 22 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26:20 | 22 |
| 7 | Cambrian United | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 8 | Llandudno FC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 16 |
| 9 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 21:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7:15 | 10 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | 9 |
| 13 | Flint Town | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 5 |
| 14 | Trefelin | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:27 | 3 |
| 15 | Ammanford Town | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7:31 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12:36 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
