Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cambridge Utd vs Gillingham

England England

League Two 2025/2026 Abbey Stadium, Cambridge
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ball D.
Assist: Appere L.
28'
Cirino L.
36' Event
Appere L.
Assist: Mpanzu P.

AI Match Summary

Cambridge Utd in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cambridge Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Cambridge Utd
22%
Draws
18%
Gillingham
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Cambridge Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cambridge Utd lately — more wins on the board than Gillingham.
  • Win probability leans Cambridge Utd's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Cambridge Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambridge Utd Gillingham
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 League Two
Cambridge Utd vs Gillingham
5:0
Dec 26, 2025 League Two
Gillingham vs Cambridge Utd
1:1
Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Gillingham vs Cambridge Utd
0:0
Feb 8, 2022 League One
Gillingham vs Cambridge Utd
1:0
Sep 28, 2021 League One
Cambridge Utd vs Gillingham
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambridge Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Ball D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Appere L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Gillingham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambridge Utd 68 / 100
Gillingham 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambridge Utd Gillingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambridge Utd's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cambridge Utd has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gillingham has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cambridge Utd VS Gillingham
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambridge Utd

(Home)
28 Jul
Cambridge Utd
0 : 0
Northampton
24 Jul
Preston
0 : 1
Cambridge Utd
14 Jul
Southend
1 : 2
Cambridge Utd
11 Jul
Cambridge City
1 : 3
Cambridge Utd
02 May
Crewe
0 : 0
Cambridge Utd
Page 1 of 6

Gillingham

(Away)
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0
Millwall
18 Jul
Gillingham
0 : 1
Charlton
14 Jul
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Gillingham
02 May
Gillingham
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
25 Apr
Barnet
6 : 2
Gillingham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bromley462415771:4687
2Milton Keynes Dons462414886:4586
3Cambridge Utd462216866:3382
4Salford462561561:5181
5Notts County462481474:5280
6Chesterfield462116971:5679
7Grimsby4622121274:5078
8Barnet4621131270:5376
9Swindon462291570:5975
10Oldham4618141460:4468
11Crewe4619101764:5867
12Colchester4618121662:4966
13Walsall4618111756:5665
14Bristol Rovers461952256:6562
15Fleetwood Town4615161557:5861
16Accrington4614112147:5853
17Gillingham4613141953:7253
18Cheltenham4614102253:7952
19Shrewsbury4613102342:6949
20Newport461272748:7743
21Tranmere4610112554:7941
22Crawley Town468162244:6840
23Harrogate461092739:6839
24Barrow46992845:7836
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)