Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cambuur vs Dordrecht

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Rossi N.
46'
Sub
Darelas A. In: Venema N.
Out: Darelas A.
53'
Sub
Kvam F. In: Henstra I.
Out: Kvam F.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Cambuur and Dordrecht finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Cambuur
20%
Draws
38%
Dordrecht
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cambuur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cambuur come out ahead of Dordrecht on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Cambuur taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 17%
Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambuur Dordrecht
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Dordrecht
1:1
Aug 8, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Cambuur
1:0
Mar 10, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Dordrecht
1:0
Aug 30, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Cambuur
2:0
Apr 26, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Dordrecht
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambuur Compare

Top Goalscorer Diemers M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dordrecht Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambuur 41 / 100
Dordrecht 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambuur Dordrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambuur found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Dordrecht's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Cambuur went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cambuur VS Dordrecht
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambuur

(Home)
24 Jul
Cambuur
0 : 1
Utrecht
24 Jul
Cambuur
1 : 0
Utrecht
10 Jul
Cambuur
2 : 1
Roda
04 Jul
Excelsior
3 : 2
Cambuur
24 Apr
Cambuur
2 : 1
Vitesse
Page 1 of 6

Dordrecht

(Away)
25 Jul
Dordrecht
2 : 2
Al Khaleej
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0
Lusail
14 Jul
Dordrecht
4 : 1
Dortmund II
11 Jul
Dordrecht
0 : 2
Excelsior
04 Jul
Dordrecht
0 : 6
Feyenoord
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Den Haag38292790:3789
2Cambuur38239675:4878
3Willem II382081059:4268
4De Graafschap381891174:5863
5Almere City381841678:6358
6Waalwijk3816101271:5958
7Jong PSV381751666:6456
8Roda3814131159:5455
9Den Bosch381491565:6951
10Dordrecht3812111548:5647
11Eindhoven FC381451951:6947
12Jong Utrecht3812101658:6246
13Venlo381361950:5845
14FC Emmen381291758:7245
15Vitesse3815111264:5544
16TOP Oss3811111654:6444
17Jong AZ Alkmaar381242261:7640
18Helmond Sport381091942:6239
19Maastricht389111841:7338
20Jong Ajax38982150:7335
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)