Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cambuur vs Roda

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Baouf I.
16'
van den Hurk A.
46'
Sub
Kruiver J. In: El Meliani R.
Out: Kruiver J.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Cambuur and Roda finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Cambuur
15%
Draws
85%
Roda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Roda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cambuur come out ahead of Roda on wins alone.
  • Roda are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 11%
Roda Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambuur Roda
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Cambuur vs Roda
2:1
Mar 13, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Roda
1:1
Sep 29, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Cambuur
1:1
Jul 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Roda vs Cambuur
3:1
Jan 20, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Cambuur
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambuur Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Roda Compare

Top Goalscorer Breij M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambuur 18 / 100
Roda 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambuur Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambuur found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Roda has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Roda lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cambuur VS Roda
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambuur

(Home)
07 Aug
Cambuur
0 : 4
Excelsior
01 Aug
Bologna
3 : 1
Cambuur
01 Aug
Bologna
3 : 1
Cambuur
28 Jul
Cambuur
1 : 2
Volos
24 Jul
Cambuur
0 : 1
Utrecht
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Roda

(Away)
07 Aug
FC Emmen
1 : 0
Roda
01 Aug
Roda
2 : 4
Alemannia Aachen
17 Jul
Roda
1 : 0
Beerschot VA
10 Jul
Cambuur
2 : 1
Roda
03 Jul
Vitesse
1 : 1
Roda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Den Haag 38 29 2 7 90:37 89
2 Cambuur 38 23 9 6 75:48 78
3 Willem II 38 20 8 10 59:42 68
4 De Graafschap 38 18 9 11 74:58 63
5 Almere City 38 18 4 16 78:63 58
6 Waalwijk 38 16 10 12 71:59 58
7 Jong PSV 38 17 5 16 66:64 56
8 Roda 38 14 13 11 59:54 55
9 Den Bosch 38 14 9 15 65:69 51
10 Dordrecht 38 12 11 15 48:56 47
11 Eindhoven FC 38 14 5 19 51:69 47
12 Jong Utrecht 38 12 10 16 58:62 46
13 Venlo 38 13 6 19 50:58 45
14 FC Emmen 38 12 9 17 58:72 45
15 Vitesse 38 15 11 12 64:55 44
16 TOP Oss 38 11 11 16 54:64 44
17 Jong AZ Alkmaar 38 12 4 22 61:76 40
18 Helmond Sport 38 10 9 19 42:62 39
19 Maastricht 38 9 11 18 41:73 38
20 Jong Ajax 38 9 8 21 50:73 35
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)