Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Adrar, Agadir

Cameroon

1 - 0

Gabon

Our Tip

Match Events

Etta Eyong K.

Assist: Mbeumo B.

22'

Ndong D.

33'

Sub

Averlant T. In: Aubameyang P.

Out: Averlant T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cameroon in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Cameroon

15%

Draws

21%

Gabon

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cameroon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Cameroon have won more games recently than Gabon.
Model gives Cameroon a 64% chance of winning this.
Cameroon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Cameroon, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Cameroon Clean Sheet 68%

Gabon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cameroon	Gabon
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	15	13
Draws	8	4
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	1.33	1.57
Goals Conceded	0.8	1.54
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 24, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations

Cameroon vs Gabon

1:0

Jan 22, 2017 Africa Cup of Nations

Cameroon vs Gabon

0:0

Sep 6, 2016 Friendly International

Cameroon vs Gabon

2:1

Aug 10, 2013 African Nations Championship

Gabon vs Cameroon

2:0

Jul 28, 2013 African Nations Championship

Cameroon vs Gabon

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cameroon Compare

Top Goalscorer Etta Eyong K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Gabon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cameroon 77 / 100

Gabon 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cameroon Gabon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cameroon Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cameroon scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Gabon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Cameroon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Gabon registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cameroon VS Gabon

1 Goals Scored 1.38

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75

50% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cameroon

(Home)

31 Mar

China

0 : 2

Cameroon

27 Mar

Australia

1 : 0

Cameroon

09 Jan

Cameroon

0 : 2

Morocco

04 Jan

South Africa

1 : 2

Cameroon

31 Dec

Mozambique

1 : 2

Cameroon

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Gabon

(Away)

30 Mar

Trinidad & Tobago

2 : 3

Gabon

27 Mar

Uzbekistan

3 : 1

Gabon

31 Dec

Gabon

2 : 3

Ivory Coast

28 Dec

Gabon

2 : 3

Mozambique

24 Dec

Cameroon

1 : 0

Gabon

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