Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cameta vs Aguia De Maraba

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Leandro Cearense
21' Event
Kaique

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cameta
15%
Draws
42%
Aguia De Maraba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cameta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aguia De Maraba lately — more wins on the board than Cameta.
  • Win probability leans Cameta's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Cameta Clean Sheet 68%
Aguia De Maraba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cameta Aguia De Maraba
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Paraense
Aguia De Maraba vs Cameta
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Paraense
Cameta vs Aguia De Maraba
0:1
Jul 9, 2024 Serie D
Cameta vs Aguia De Maraba
1:1
May 11, 2024 Serie D
Aguia De Maraba vs Cameta
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Paraense
Aguia De Maraba vs Cameta
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cameta Compare

Top Goalscorer Leandro Cearense
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Aguia De Maraba Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cameta 59 / 100
Aguia De Maraba 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cameta Aguia De Maraba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cameta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cameta scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Aguia De Maraba let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Aguia De Maraba's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aguia De Maraba
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cameta

(Home)
28 Feb
Cameta
1 : 2
Capitao Poco
22 Feb
Cameta
2 : 3
Remo
19 Feb
Cameta
2 : 0
Santa Rosa
15 Feb
Aguia De Maraba
1 : 0
Cameta
11 Feb
Cameta
2 : 0
Paysandu PA
Page 1 of 6

Aguia De Maraba

(Away)
12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1
ABC
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0
Parnahyba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1
Aguia De Maraba
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manauara 14 10 4 0 35:7 34
2 Porto Velho 14 9 1 4 29:15 28
3 Princesa do Solimoes 14 7 4 3 23:16 25
4 Manaus FC 14 7 3 4 21:18 24
5 Trem 14 5 3 6 18:22 18
6 Sao Raimundo RR 14 5 1 8 16:24 16
7 Rio Branco AC 14 3 3 8 14:25 12
8 SC Humaita 14 0 1 13 7:36 1
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maranhao 14 8 3 3 22:9 27
2 AE Altos 14 7 3 4 22:16 24
3 River-PI 14 5 4 5 20:16 19
4 Tocantinopolis 14 5 4 5 15:19 19
5 Cameta 14 4 4 6 17:17 16
6 Fluminense-PI 14 3 6 5 14:19 15
7 Moto Club 14 3 6 5 17:24 15
8 Aguia De Maraba 14 2 8 4 12:19 14
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treze PB 14 9 4 1 28:9 31
2 Iguatu 14 8 3 3 14:8 27
3 America RN 14 7 5 2 18:9 26
4 Atletico Cearense 14 5 3 6 14:16 18
5 Sousa 14 5 3 6 12:14 18
6 Santa Cruz de Natal 14 5 1 8 17:25 16
7 Maracana 14 3 3 8 13:21 12
8 Potiguar de Mossoró 14 1 4 9 7:21 7
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabaiana 14 8 2 4 21:11 26
2 Retro 14 8 2 4 21:12 26
3 Jacuipense 14 7 2 5 15:13 23
4 ASA 14 6 3 5 15:13 21
5 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 14 6 3 5 18:17 21
6 Juazeirense 14 6 3 5 13:13 21
7 Petrolina 14 2 4 8 6:19 10
8 Sergipe 14 2 3 9 11:22 9
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 14 10 2 2 27:10 32
2 Anapolis 14 7 4 3 18:10 25
3 Mixto 14 5 7 2 18:13 22
4 CRAC 14 5 7 2 13:8 22
5 Ipora 14 5 2 7 16:21 17
6 Uniao Rondonopolis 14 3 7 4 14:15 16
7 Real Brasilia 14 2 3 9 10:20 9
8 Capital FC 14 2 2 10 10:29 8
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Iguacu 14 9 4 1 19:5 31
2 Portuguesa RJ 14 6 7 1 18:6 25
3 Itabuna 14 6 6 2 16:9 24
4 Real Noroeste 14 5 5 4 16:15 20
5 Serra 14 5 4 5 16:18 19
6 Ipatinga 14 2 5 7 8:18 11
7 Democrata SL 14 2 4 8 8:21 10
8 Audax RJ 14 2 3 9 10:19 9
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maringa FC 14 10 2 2 25:10 32
2 Internacional de Limeira 14 7 3 4 16:7 24
3 Agua Santa 14 6 4 4 12:10 22
4 Costa Rica 14 6 3 5 16:17 21
5 Santo Andre 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
6 Pouso Alegre 14 3 5 6 11:9 14
7 Sao Jose EC 14 2 8 4 13:16 14
8 Patrocinense 14 1 2 11 6:32 5
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cianorte 14 6 4 4 14:12 22
2 Brasil de Pelotas 14 6 3 5 17:14 21
3 Avenida 14 5 4 5 14:19 19
4 Novo Hamburgo 14 4 6 4 14:15 18
5 Hercilio Luz 14 3 9 2 11:10 18
6 Concordia 14 4 5 5 13:12 17
7 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 14 3 7 4 15:12 16
8 FC Cascavel 14 3 6 5 8:12 15
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)