Sport Picks

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Cameta vs Santa Rosa

Brazil Brazil

Paraense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
da Silva Barbosa J.
45' Event
Leleu
67' Event
Aleffe R.

AI Match Summary

The Paraense 2025 game between Cameta and Santa Rosa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cameta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cameta
15%
Draws
34%
Santa Rosa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cameta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cameta come out ahead of Santa Rosa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cameta a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Cameta Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Rosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cameta Santa Rosa
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.29 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 Paraense
Cameta vs Santa Rosa
2:0
Jan 28, 2025 Paraense
Cameta vs Santa Rosa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cameta Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva Barbosa J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leleu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Santa Rosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Aleffe R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cameta 77 / 100
Santa Rosa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cameta Santa Rosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cameta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cameta's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Santa Rosa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Santa Rosa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cameta VS Santa Rosa
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cameta

(Home)
28 Feb
Cameta
1 : 2
Capitao Poco
22 Feb
Cameta
2 : 3
Remo
19 Feb
Cameta
2 : 0
Santa Rosa
15 Feb
Aguia De Maraba
1 : 0
Cameta
11 Feb
Cameta
2 : 0
Paysandu PA
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Santa Rosa

(Away)
22 Feb
Aguia De Maraba
1 : 0
Santa Rosa
19 Feb
Cameta
2 : 0
Santa Rosa
15 Feb
Santa Rosa
0 : 2
Paysandu PA
12 Feb
Amazonia IFC
2 : 2
Santa Rosa
08 Feb
Santa Rosa
1 : 0
Bragantino PA
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo 8 5 2 1 17:4 17
2 Paysandu PA 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
3 Bragantino PA 8 5 2 1 11:6 17
4 Castanhal 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
5 Tuna Luso 8 3 2 3 12:12 11
6 Aguia De Maraba 8 3 2 3 9:10 11
7 Capitao Poco 8 2 5 1 9:9 11
8 Santa Rosa 8 3 1 4 7:9 10
9 Cameta 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
10 Sao Francisco 8 2 0 6 9:16 6
11 Independente 8 1 3 4 5:12 6
12 Caete 8 1 0 7 5:12 3
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paysandu PA 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
2 Cameta 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
3 Sao Francisco 8 2 0 6 9:16 6
4 Caete 8 1 0 7 5:12 3
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo 8 5 2 1 17:4 17
2 Bragantino PA 8 5 2 1 11:6 17
3 Castanhal 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
4 Independente 8 1 3 4 5:12 6
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuna Luso 8 3 2 3 12:12 11
2 Aguia De Maraba 8 3 2 3 9:10 11
3 Capitao Poco 8 2 5 1 9:9 11
4 Santa Rosa 8 3 1 4 7:9 10
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)