Sport Picks

Brazil

Serie D 2024

Cameta

3 - 1

Tocantinopolis

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Debu

26'

Bilau

45'

Alysson Barros

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D 2024 game between Cameta and Tocantinopolis finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cameta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Cameta

15%

Draws

51%

Tocantinopolis

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Tocantinopolis come out ahead of Cameta on wins alone.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Serie D 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Cameta Clean Sheet 68%

Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cameta	Tocantinopolis
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	11	12
Draws	7	11
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	1.2	1.31
Goals Conceded	1.2	1.22
Expected Goals (xG)	1.23	1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2024 Serie D

Cameta vs Tocantinopolis

3:1

May 4, 2024 Serie D

Tocantinopolis vs Cameta

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cameta Compare

Top Goalscorer Debu

1 Goals

Assists Leader Alysson Barros

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.95

Avg xA / game 0.61

Tocantinopolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilau

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.07

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cameta 42 / 100

Tocantinopolis 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cameta Tocantinopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cameta found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Tocantinopolis let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Cameta remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tocantinopolis

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 1.25

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cameta

(Home)

28 Feb

Cameta

1 : 2

Capitao Poco

22 Feb

Cameta

2 : 3

Remo

19 Feb

Cameta

2 : 0

Santa Rosa

15 Feb

Aguia De Maraba

1 : 0

Cameta

11 Feb

Cameta

2 : 0

Paysandu PA

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Tocantinopolis

(Away)

06 Jun

Tocantinopolis

7 : 1

Oratorio

30 May

Aguia De Maraba

3 : 1

Tocantinopolis

23 May

Trem

4 : 1

Tocantinopolis

16 May

Tocantinopolis

2 : 0

Imperatriz

10 May

Tuna Luso

2 : 3

Tocantinopolis

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