Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Campbelltown City vs Para

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Steve Woodcock Sports Centre, Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Adejo S.
Own Goal
90' Event
Melisi A.
90' Event
Mori J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL South Australia game between Campbelltown City and Para finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Campbelltown City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Campbelltown City
15%
Draws
0%
Para
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Campbelltown City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Campbelltown City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Campbelltown City a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Campbelltown City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Campbelltown City Clean Sheet 68%
Para Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campbelltown City Para
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 2
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 1.7 1
Goals Conceded 1.87 4.23
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs Para
3:0
Apr 18, 2026 NPL South Australia
Para vs Campbelltown City
0:5
Jul 19, 2025 NPL South Australia
Para vs Campbelltown City
1:5
Apr 26, 2025 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs Para
2:5
Aug 3, 2024 NPL South Australia
Para vs Campbelltown City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campbelltown City Compare

Top Goalscorer Melisi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mori J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Para Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campbelltown City 95 / 100
Para 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campbelltown City Para

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campbelltown City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Campbelltown City scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Para's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Para has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Campbelltown City VS Para
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 5.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Campbelltown City

(Home)
15 Aug
Sturt Lions FC
1 : 3
Campbelltown City
07 Aug
Campbelltown City
2 : 0
FK Beograd
31 Jul
Campbelltown City
0 : 4
Adelaide City
25 Jul
Croydon
2 : 2
Campbelltown City
17 Jul
Campbelltown City
1 : 0
Adelaide Comets
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Para

(Away)
15 Aug
Para
2 : 5
Adelaide Comets
08 Aug
Adelaide Utd U23
5 : 2
Para
01 Aug
West Adelaide
2 : 1
Para
25 Jul
Para
2 : 4
Playford Patriots
17 Jul
West Torrens Birkalla
11 : 0
Para
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide City 22 14 6 2 44:16 48
2 West Torrens Birkalla 22 14 3 5 54:29 45
3 MetroStars 22 13 5 4 53:23 44
4 Playford Patriots 22 10 5 7 42:31 35
5 FK Beograd 22 10 3 9 35:30 33
6 Croydon 22 8 6 8 46:41 30
7 Adelaide Utd U23 22 7 8 7 33:32 29
8 Campbelltown City 22 8 5 9 35:36 29
9 Sturt Lions FC 22 8 3 11 35:36 27
10 West Adelaide 22 6 7 9 40:44 25
11 Adelaide Comets 22 5 5 12 25:38 20
12 Para 22 0 2 20 16:102 2
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)