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Campbelltown City vs Sturt Lions FC

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Steve Woodcock Sports Centre
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Leombruno A.
70' Event
Mori J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL South Australia game between Campbelltown City and Sturt Lions FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Campbelltown City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Campbelltown City
30%
Draws
34%
Sturt Lions FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Campbelltown City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sturt Lions FC come out ahead of Campbelltown City on wins alone.
  • Model gives Campbelltown City a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL South Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Campbelltown City have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Campbelltown City Clean Sheet 13%
Sturt Lions FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campbelltown City Sturt Lions FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 17
Draws 6 1
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs Sturt Lions FC
2:0
May 13, 2023 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs Sturt Lions FC
3:1
Feb 18, 2023 NPL South Australia
Sturt Lions FC vs Campbelltown City
1:2
Jul 2, 2022 NPL South Australia
Sturt Lions FC vs Campbelltown City
0:1
Apr 2, 2022 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs Sturt Lions FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campbelltown City Compare

Top Goalscorer Leombruno A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mori J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sturt Lions FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campbelltown City 35 / 100
Sturt Lions FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campbelltown City Sturt Lions FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campbelltown City scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Sturt Lions FC let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Campbelltown City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Campbelltown City VS Sturt Lions FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1MetroStars17114248:1837
2Adelaide City17105233:1435
3West Torrens Birkalla17103434:2633
4FK Beograd1793531:1930
5Croydon1783638:3027
6Playford Patriots1775535:2626
7Adelaide Utd U231757522:2422
8Sturt Lions FC17701030:3021
9Campbelltown City1754827:2919
10West Adelaide1746733:3418
11Adelaide Comets17341019:3413
12Para1702159:752