Sport Picks
Campinense vs Guarany - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie D 2021 
Match Events
37'
37'
Felipinho
39'
39'
Hugo Freitas
90'
90'
Matheus Regis
AI Match Summary
Campinense in this Serie D 2021 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Campinense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Campinense lately — more wins on the board than Guarany.
- Model gives Campinense a 42% chance of winning this.
- Campinense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Campinense, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Campinense Clean Sheet 20%
Guarany Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Campinense | Guarany |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2021 Serie D
Guarany vs Campinense
0:2
Sep 25, 2021 Serie D
Campinense vs Guarany
2:1
Nov 13, 2020 Serie D
Campinense vs Guarany
1:1
Sep 30, 2020 Serie D
Guarany vs Campinense
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Campinense Compare
Top Goalscorer Felipinho
1 Goals Assists Leader Matheus Regis
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Guarany Compare
Top Goalscorer Hugo Freitas
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Campinense 42 / 100
Guarany 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Campinense Guarany
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Campinense scored in 70% of their last 33 games.
Defensive concern: Guarany conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Campinense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Campinense VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Campinense
(Home) 08 Mar
Campinense
0 : 2 Sousa
28 Feb
Sousa
0 : 1 Campinense
22 Feb
EC de Patos
1 : 0 Campinense
18 Feb
Campinense
1 : 1 Sousa
14 Feb
Campinense
1 : 0 Serra Branca
Page 1 of 7
08 Mar
Campinense
0 : 2 Sousa
18 Feb
Campinense
1 : 1 Sousa
14 Feb
Campinense
1 : 0 Serra Branca
31 Jan
Campinense
4 : 1 Botafogo PB
22 Jan
Campinense
1 : 2 Nacional PB
Page 1 of 4
Guarany
(Away) 03 Oct
Guarany
0 : 2 Campinense
25 Sept
Campinense
2 : 1 Guarany
20 Sept
Guarany
2 : 0 Galvez
13 Sept
Galvez
0 : 0 Guarany
04 Sept
Paragominas
2 : 1 Guarany
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Campinense
2 : 1 Guarany
13 Sept
Galvez
0 : 0 Guarany
04 Sept
Paragominas
2 : 1 Guarany
21 Aug
Palmas
0 : 2 Guarany
07 Aug
Julho Esporte
0 : 2 Guarany
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Atletico Cearense 2
Juazeirense 1
Paragominas 3
Sao Raimundo RR 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves 2
Santo Andre 1
Brasiliense 0
Ferroviaria 1
America RN 3
Itabaiana 1
Moto Club 4
Castanhal 1
Galvez 0
Guarany 2
Sergipe 3
Campinense 4
Uberlandia 3
Nova Mutum EC 1
Bangu 2
Joinville 3
Cianorte 3
FC Cascavel 0
Caldense 2
Aparecidense 3
SER Caxias do Sul 2
Portuguesa 1
Uniao Rondonopolis 3
Boa 1
Penarol 1
Julho Esporte 3
Retro 3
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Atletico Cearense 3
Paragominas 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves 2
Ferroviaria 3
America RN 5
Moto Club 2
Guarany 1
Campinense 4
Uberlandia 3
Joinville 2
Cianorte 0
Aparecidense 1
SER Caxias do Sul 4
Uniao Rondonopolis 0
Julho Esporte 1
ABC 3
Quarter-finals
Atletico Cearense 2
Ferroviaria 1
America RN 0
Campinense 1
Uberlandia 1
Aparecidense 2
SER Caxias do Sul 0
ABC 3
Semi-finals
Atletico Cearense 2
Campinense 4
Aparecidense 4
ABC 3
Final
Campinense 1
Aparecidense 2
