Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Campinense vs Pombal

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2025 Estadio Governador Ernani Satyro (Amigao), Campina Grande
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Michel Potiguar
51'
Pepeu
53'
Sub
Jo Santos In: Danilo Bala
Out: Jo Santos

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paraibano 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Campinense
20%
Draws
40%
Pombal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Campinense lately — more wins on the board than Pombal.
  • Campinense are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Paraibano 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Campinense Clean Sheet 68%
Pombal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campinense Pombal
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Paraibano
Pombal vs Campinense
2:2
Feb 22, 2025 Paraibano
Campinense vs Pombal
1:1
Jan 20, 2024 Paraibano
Pombal vs Campinense
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel Potiguar
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Pombal Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Lucas
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campinense 68 / 100
Pombal 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campinense Pombal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pombal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Campinense scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Campinense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Campinense VS Pombal
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Campinense

(Home)
08 Mar
Campinense
0 : 2
Sousa
28 Feb
Sousa
0 : 1
Campinense
22 Feb
EC de Patos
1 : 0
Campinense
18 Feb
Campinense
1 : 1
Sousa
14 Feb
Campinense
1 : 0
Serra Branca
Page 1 of 7

Pombal

(Away)
22 Feb
Sousa
2 : 0
Pombal
18 Feb
Confianca PB
3 : 2
Pombal
14 Feb
Pombal
1 : 1
Atletico Cajazeirense
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Pombal
3 : 1
Serra Branca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:3 20
2 Botafogo PB 9 6 1 2 19:8 19
3 Treze PB 9 5 3 1 18:8 18
4 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 21:8 17
5 Campinense 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
6 EC de Patos 9 3 1 5 14:16 10
7 Pombal 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
8 Nacional PB 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
9 Auto Esporte 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
10 Picuiense 9 0 1 8 5:35 1
11 CSP 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 (Main)