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Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Diogo Bolt

AI Match Summary

Campo Grande in this Carioca B1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Campo Grande.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Campo Grande
30%
Draws
8%
AA Carapebus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Campo Grande

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Campo Grande have won more games recently than AA Carapebus.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Campo Grande taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Campo Grande have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Campo Grande Clean Sheet 68%
AA Carapebus Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campo Grande AA Carapebus
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.32 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Carioca B1
Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Carioca B1
Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Carioca B2
Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus
1:0
Nov 20, 2024 Carioca B2
AA Carapebus vs Campo Grande
1:3
Oct 31, 2024 Carioca B2
Campo Grande vs AA Carapebus
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campo Grande Compare

Top Goalscorer Diogo Bolt
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

AA Carapebus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campo Grande 77 / 100
AA Carapebus 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campo Grande AA Carapebus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campo Grande Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campo Grande found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

AA Carapebus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Campo Grande has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Campo Grande VS AA Carapebus
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Campo Grande

(Home)
03 Oct
Campo Grande
0 : 0
Goncalense
26 Sept
Serrano FC
1 : 1
Campo Grande
19 Sept
Campo Grande
2 : 1
Macae
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
Page 1 of 6

AA Carapebus

(Away)
03 Oct
Macae
4 : 3
AA Carapebus
25 Sept
AA Carapebus
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
11 Sept
AA Carapebus
1 : 4
Duque de Caxias
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niteroiense 5 4 1 0 7:1 13
2 Goncalense 6 2 4 0 7:4 10
3 Goytacaz 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
4 Duque de Caxias 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
5 Artsul 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
6 Campo Grande 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Serrano FC 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
8 Macae 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
9 Sao Cristovao 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
10 Nova Cidade 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
11 AA Carapebus 5 0 1 4 4:10 1
12 Audax RJ 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
Promotion - Carioca B1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2027 (Main)