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Campo Grande vs Friburguense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Hugo V.
28' Event
Martini J. P.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 2025 game between Campo Grande and Friburguense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Campo Grande
30%
Draws
43%
Friburguense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Friburguense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Friburguense haven't matched Campo Grande's recent run of results.
  • Friburguense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Campo Grande Clean Sheet 23%
Friburguense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campo Grande Friburguense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.37 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Carioca B1
Campo Grande vs Friburguense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campo Grande Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugo V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Friburguense Compare

Top Goalscorer Martini J. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campo Grande 24 / 100
Friburguense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campo Grande Friburguense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Friburguense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campo Grande scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Friburguense has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Campo Grande has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Campo Grande VS Friburguense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Campo Grande

(Home)
03 Oct
Campo Grande
0 : 0
Goncalense
26 Sept
Serrano FC
1 : 1
Campo Grande
19 Sept
Campo Grande
2 : 1
Macae
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
Page 1 of 6

Friburguense

(Away)
06 Oct
Friburguense
1 : 0
Paduano EC
02 Oct
7 de Abril
1 : 2
Friburguense
27 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
20 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 0
Campos AA
13 Sept
Paraty
1 : 4
Friburguense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 14:7 22
2 Sao Cristovao 11 5 4 2 14:8 19
3 Serrano FC 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
4 Duque de Caxias 11 5 3 3 10:9 18
5 Niteroiense 11 4 4 3 16:14 16
6 Goncalense 11 5 1 5 11:9 16
7 Nova Cidade 11 4 4 3 9:9 16
8 Campo Grande 11 3 6 2 9:8 15
9 Artsul 11 3 4 4 11:10 13
10 AA Carapebus 11 3 3 5 6:13 12
11 Paduano EC 11 3 1 7 12:18 10
12 Friburguense 11 1 1 9 3:13 4
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2025 (Main)