Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Campo Novo vs Cacerense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Campo Novo Logo

Campo Novo

Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Cacerense Logo

Cacerense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Cacerense are expected to control this from the start. Cacerense have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Campo Novo have conceded 3.12 and scored 0.88. Head-to-head, Campo Novo have won 0 to Cacerense's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 2.63) point toward Cacerense. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Campo Novo
15%
Draws
85%
Cacerense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cacerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cacerense come out ahead of Campo Novo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cacerense's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Cacerense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Campo Novo Clean Sheet 10%
Cacerense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campo Novo Cacerense
Matches Played 17 29
Wins 2 11
Draws 0 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.88 1.24
Goals Conceded 3.12 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Cacerense vs Campo Novo
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campo Novo 18 / 100
Cacerense 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campo Novo Cacerense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cacerense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Cacerense has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Cacerense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Campo Novo found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (17 games).

Scoring Trends

Campo Novo VS Cacerense
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
3.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Campo Novo

(Home)
03 Oct
Sorriso EC
4 : 1
Campo Novo
27 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 4
Sorriso EC
19 Sept
Cacerense
3 : 2
Campo Novo
13 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 2
Cuiaba
17 May
Campo Novo
1 : 3
Sinop FC
Page 1 of 4

Cacerense

(Away)
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0
Cacerense
26 Sept
Cacerense
2 : 5
Cuiaba
19 Sept
Cacerense
3 : 2
Campo Novo
12 Sept
Sorriso EC
1 : 2
Cacerense
07 Jun
Sinop FC
2 : 0
Cacerense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Rondonopolis 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
2 Chapada 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
3 Santa Cruz MT 5 2 0 3 8:7 6
4 Várzea Grande EC 5 2 0 3 9:13 6
5 Uirapuru 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
2 Sorriso EC 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
3 Cacerense 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
4 Campo Novo 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)