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Campo Novo vs Caceres

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caceres in this Matogrossense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caceres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Campo Novo
20%
Draws
80%
Caceres
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caceres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Caceres have won more games recently than Campo Novo.
  • Caceres are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Campo Novo Clean Sheet 10%
Caceres Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campo Novo Caceres
Matches Played 16 17
Wins 2 7
Draws 0 5
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.88 1.24
Goals Conceded 3.06 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Campo Novo vs Caceres
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campo Novo 10 / 100
Caceres 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campo Novo Caceres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caceres Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Caceres conceded in 65% of 17 recent games.

Campo Novo found the back of the net in 44% of recent matches (16 games).

Difficult form: Caceres registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Campo Novo VS Caceres
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Campo Novo

(Home)
27 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 4
Sorriso EC
19 Sept
Cacerense
3 : 2
Campo Novo
13 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 2
Cuiaba
17 May
Campo Novo
1 : 3
Sinop FC
10 May
Gremio Sorriso
4 : 0
Campo Novo
Page 1 of 4

Caceres

(Away)
12 Oct
Primavera AC
2 : 2
Caceres
05 Oct
Caceres
0 : 2
Nova Mutum EC
28 Sept
Academia
3 : 2
Caceres
14 Sept
Caceres
1 : 1
Operario VG
08 Sept
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Caceres
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rondonopolis EC 5 3 2 0 19:5 11
2 Acao 4 3 0 1 9:6 9
3 Pocone 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
4 Várzea Grande EC 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Atletico MT 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
6 Paulistano FC 1 0 0 1 0:9 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sinop FC 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Gremio Sorriso 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
3 Caceres 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
4 Sport Sinop 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
5 Campo Novo 5 1 0 4 6:10 3
6 Santa Cruz MT 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)