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Campo Novo vs Santa Cruz MT

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Matogrossense 2 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense 2 2024 game between Campo Novo and Santa Cruz MT finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Campo Novo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Campo Novo
6%
Draws
90%
Santa Cruz MT
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santa Cruz MT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Santa Cruz MT carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Santa Cruz MT a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Santa Cruz MT have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Campo Novo Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Cruz MT Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campo Novo Santa Cruz MT
Matches Played 13 16
Wins 2 5
Draws 0 5
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Campo Novo vs Santa Cruz MT
0:2
Jun 22, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Campo Novo vs Santa Cruz MT
0:2
May 26, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Campo Novo vs Santa Cruz MT
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campo Novo 10 / 100
Santa Cruz MT 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campo Novo Santa Cruz MT

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz MT's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 16 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Campo Novo scored in 46% of their last 13 games.

Santa Cruz MT lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Campo Novo VS Santa Cruz MT
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
3.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rondonopolis EC532019:511
2Acao43019:69
3Pocone42117:47
4Várzea Grande EC41126:74
5Atletico MT40040:100
6Paulistano FC10010:90
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sinop FC54108:313
2Gremio Sorriso53208:311
3Caceres52126:67
4Sport Sinop52036:66
5Campo Novo51046:103
6Santa Cruz MT51043:93