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Campo Novo vs Santa Cruz MT

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz MT in this Matogrossense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Cruz MT.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Campo Novo
6%
Draws
90%
Santa Cruz MT
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santa Cruz MT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Cruz MT lately — more wins on the board than Campo Novo.
  • Win probability leans Santa Cruz MT's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Santa Cruz MT have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Campo Novo Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Cruz MT Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campo Novo Santa Cruz MT
Matches Played 13 16
Wins 2 5
Draws 0 5
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Campo Novo vs Santa Cruz MT
0:2
Jun 22, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Campo Novo vs Santa Cruz MT
0:2
May 26, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Campo Novo vs Santa Cruz MT
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campo Novo 10 / 100
Santa Cruz MT 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campo Novo Santa Cruz MT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz MT let in goals in 63% of their last 16 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Campo Novo found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (13 games).

Away concern: Santa Cruz MT has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Campo Novo VS Santa Cruz MT
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
3.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sorriso EC440012:312
2Chapada421110:57
3Santa Cruz MT42118:47
4Campo Novo41035:123
5Atletico MT40044:150
6Juara00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cacerense43108:210
2Várzea Grande EC42118:87
3Dom Bosco42027:56
4Uirapuru41037:143
5Acao41037:83