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Campo Novo vs Santa Cruz MT

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz MT in this Matogrossense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Cruz MT.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Campo Novo
15%
Draws
85%
Santa Cruz MT
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Cruz MT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Cruz MT lately — more wins on the board than Campo Novo.
  • Win probability leans Santa Cruz MT's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Santa Cruz MT have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Campo Novo Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Cruz MT Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campo Novo Santa Cruz MT
Matches Played 16 20
Wins 2 7
Draws 0 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.2
Goals Conceded 3.06 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Campo Novo vs Santa Cruz MT
0:2
Jun 22, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Campo Novo vs Santa Cruz MT
0:2
May 26, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Campo Novo vs Santa Cruz MT
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campo Novo 10 / 100
Santa Cruz MT 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campo Novo Santa Cruz MT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz MT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz MT let in goals in 65% of their last 20 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Campo Novo found the back of the net in 44% of recent matches (16 games).

Away concern: Santa Cruz MT has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Campo Novo VS Santa Cruz MT
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
3.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Campo Novo

(Home)
27 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 4
Sorriso EC
19 Sept
Cacerense
3 : 2
Campo Novo
13 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 2
Cuiaba
17 May
Campo Novo
1 : 3
Sinop FC
10 May
Gremio Sorriso
4 : 0
Campo Novo
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Santa Cruz MT

(Away)
30 Sept
Chapada
2 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
27 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
4 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
19 Sept
Uirapuru
2 : 3
Santa Cruz MT
13 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC
31 May
Sinop FC
0 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorriso EC 4 4 0 0 12:3 12
2 Chapada 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
3 Santa Cruz MT 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
4 Campo Novo 4 1 0 3 5:12 3
5 Atletico MT 4 0 0 4 4:15 0
6 Juara 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cacerense 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
2 Várzea Grande EC 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
3 Dom Bosco 4 2 0 2 7:5 6
4 Uirapuru 4 1 0 3 7:14 3
5 Acao 4 1 0 3 7:8 3
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2025 (Play Offs)