Sport Picks

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Campo Novo vs Sorriso EC

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sorriso EC in this Matogrossense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sorriso EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Campo Novo
6%
Draws
90%
Sorriso EC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sorriso EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sorriso EC lately — more wins on the board than Campo Novo.
  • Sorriso EC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Campo Novo Clean Sheet 10%
Sorriso EC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campo Novo Sorriso EC
Matches Played 13 11
Wins 2 6
Draws 0 2
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 3.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Sorriso EC vs Campo Novo
9:0
Jul 6, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Campo Novo vs Sorriso EC
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campo Novo 10 / 100
Sorriso EC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campo Novo Sorriso EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Sorriso EC conceded in 64% of 11 recent games.

Campo Novo found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (13 games).

Sorriso EC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Campo Novo VS Sorriso EC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Campo Novo

(Home)
17 May
Campo Novo
1 : 3
Sinop FC
10 May
Gremio Sorriso
4 : 0
Campo Novo
01 May
Sorriso EC
9 : 0
Campo Novo
18 Apr
Campo Novo
0 : 2
Santa Cruz MT
06 Jul
Campo Novo
0 : 4
Sorriso EC
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Sorriso EC

(Away)
21 May
Sorriso EC
2 : 3
Cacerense
17 May
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 1
Sorriso EC
01 May
Sorriso EC
9 : 0
Campo Novo
25 Apr
Sorriso EC
1 : 2
Sinop FC
19 Apr
Gremio Sorriso
0 : 1
Sorriso EC
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sorriso EC440012:312
2Chapada421110:57
3Santa Cruz MT42118:47
4Campo Novo41035:123
5Atletico MT40044:150
6Juara00000:00
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cacerense43108:210
2Várzea Grande EC42118:87
3Dom Bosco42027:56
4Uirapuru41037:143
5Acao41037:83
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2025 (Play Offs)