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Campo Novo vs Sorriso EC

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Campo Novo Logo

Campo Novo

0 - 4
FT
Sorriso EC Logo

Sorriso EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Campo Novo
15%
Draws
85%
Sorriso EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sorriso EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sorriso EC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sorriso EC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Sorriso EC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sorriso EC, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Sorriso EC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Campo Novo Clean Sheet 10%
Sorriso EC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campo Novo Sorriso EC
Matches Played 16 14
Wins 2 7
Draws 0 2
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.88 2.36
Goals Conceded 3.06 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Sorriso EC vs Campo Novo
4:1
Sep 27, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Campo Novo vs Sorriso EC
0:4
May 1, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Sorriso EC vs Campo Novo
9:0
Jul 6, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Campo Novo vs Sorriso EC
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campo Novo 10 / 100
Sorriso EC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campo Novo Sorriso EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sorriso EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Sorriso EC has conceded goals in 64% of their last 14 outings.

Difficult form: Sorriso EC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Campo Novo found the back of the net in 44% of recent matches (16 games).

Scoring Trends

Campo Novo VS Sorriso EC
0.38 Goals Scored 2.38
4 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Campo Novo

(Home)
27 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 4
Sorriso EC
19 Sept
Cacerense
3 : 2
Campo Novo
13 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 2
Cuiaba
17 May
Campo Novo
1 : 3
Sinop FC
10 May
Gremio Sorriso
4 : 0
Campo Novo
Page 1 of 4

Sorriso EC

(Away)
27 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 4
Sorriso EC
17 Sept
Cuiaba
4 : 0
Sorriso EC
12 Sept
Sorriso EC
1 : 2
Cacerense
21 May
Sorriso EC
2 : 3
Cacerense
17 May
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 1
Sorriso EC
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Rondonopolis 5 3 1 1 6:6 10
2 Chapada 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
3 Santa Cruz MT 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
4 Várzea Grande EC 4 2 0 2 9:10 6
5 Uirapuru 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
2 Sorriso EC 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
3 Cacerense 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
4 Campo Novo 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)