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Campobasso vs Matese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 Stadio Nuovo Romagnoli, Campobasso
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Galesio L.
53' Event
Maldonado L.
80' Event
Di Nardo A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 game between Campobasso and Matese finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Campobasso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Campobasso
20%
Draws
29%
Matese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Campobasso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Campobasso carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Campobasso taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Campobasso here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Campobasso Clean Sheet 20%
Matese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campobasso Matese
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.28 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Campobasso vs Matese
2:0
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs Campobasso
0:3
Mar 21, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs Campobasso
0:0
Oct 25, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Campobasso vs Matese
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campobasso Compare

Top Goalscorer Maldonado L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Di Nardo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Matese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campobasso 76 / 100
Matese 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campobasso Matese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campobasso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campobasso's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Matese let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Campobasso stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Campobasso VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Campobasso

(Home)
15 Aug
Campobasso
2 : 0
Cavese
09 Aug
Juve Stabia
0 : 2
Campobasso
13 May
Potenza
3 : 1
Campobasso
10 May
Campobasso
0 : 3
Potenza
06 May
Campobasso
1 : 1
Pineto
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Matese

(Away)
05 May
Matese
0 : 0
Calcio Chieti
28 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 0
Matese
21 Apr
Matese
0 : 2
Termoli
14 Apr
United Riccione
2 : 0
Matese
07 Apr
Matese
2 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campobasso 34 20 10 4 55:29 70
2 Aquila Calcio 34 20 8 6 40:22 68
3 Avezzano 34 17 8 9 50:33 59
4 Sambenedettese 34 15 13 6 57:36 58
5 Roma City 34 14 10 10 56:37 52
6 Atletico Ascoli 34 12 14 8 39:33 50
7 Vigor Senigallia 34 13 10 11 57:50 49
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 12 10 35:34 48
9 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 12 11 37:38 45
10 Termoli 34 11 10 13 30:36 43
11 Fossombrone 34 8 17 9 28:28 41
12 AS Sora 34 10 11 13 37:37 41
13 Real Monterotondo 34 12 5 17 42:60 41
14 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 7 17 38:55 37
15 United Riccione 34 10 7 17 48:51 37
16 Fano 34 6 14 14 35:49 32
17 Vastogirardi 34 7 8 19 26:51 29
18 Matese 34 6 8 20 20:51 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Out)