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Campos vs Alaior

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Campos in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Campos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Campos
20%
Draws
80%
Alaior
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alaior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alaior lately — more wins on the board than Campos.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Alaior taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Campos Clean Sheet 15%
Alaior Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campos Alaior
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 4 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0.89 0.77
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Campos vs Alaior
2:1
Oct 23, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs Campos
4:1
Feb 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Campos vs Alaior
2:2
Oct 3, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs Campos
2:4
Apr 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Campos vs Alaior
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campos 10 / 100
Alaior 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campos Alaior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaior Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Campos found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (36 games).

Alaior has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Alaior registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Campos VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Campos

(Home)
11 May
Campos
1 : 2
Mercadal
07 May
Penya Independent
6 : 0
Campos
24 Apr
Campos
1 : 2
Platges de Calvia
16 Apr
Constancia
3 : 0
Campos
12 Apr
Campos
1 : 4
Porreres
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Alaior

(Away)
12 May
Alaior
1 : 1
Portmany
04 May
Mallorca B
2 : 1
Alaior
01 May
Alaior
0 : 3
UD Poblense
27 Apr
Constancia
1 : 0
Alaior
21 Apr
Alaior
0 : 0
Collerense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Constancia 38 24 13 1 68:21 85
2 Binissalem 38 24 8 6 59:26 80
3 Llosetense 38 23 7 8 81:50 76
4 CD Montuiri 38 22 9 7 66:28 75
5 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 20 12 6 56:23 72
6 Pena Deportiva 38 20 7 11 61:35 67
7 Santanyi 38 19 10 9 65:40 67
8 Campos 38 14 14 10 38:31 56
9 UD Poblense 38 14 13 11 49:39 55
10 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 42:47 52
11 Collerense 38 11 12 15 46:58 45
12 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:58 42
13 Son Ferrer 38 10 12 16 28:50 42
14 Alcudia 38 10 9 19 42:54 39
15 Espana 38 11 6 21 44:66 39
16 Atletico Isleno 38 9 11 18 46:60 38
17 Ferriolense 38 10 6 22 44:60 36
18 Platges de Calvia 38 9 7 22 41:65 34
19 CD Ferrerias 38 5 8 25 27:87 23
20 Alaior 38 4 9 25 35:76 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)