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Campos vs UD Alaro

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 game between Campos and UD Alaro finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Alaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Campos
15%
Draws
85%
UD Alaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Alaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Campos come out ahead of UD Alaro on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Campos Clean Sheet 15%
UD Alaro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campos UD Alaro
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 3 2
Draws 9 7
Losses 20 21
Goals Scored 0.84 0.37
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Campos vs UD Alaro
1:0
Nov 14, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Alaro vs Campos
1:1
Apr 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Campos vs UD Alaro
0:2
Nov 22, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Alaro vs Campos
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campos 30 / 100
UD Alaro 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campos UD Alaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Alaro has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

UD Alaro lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Campos scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Campos VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Campos

(Home)
11 May
Campos
1 : 2
Mercadal
07 May
Penya Independent
6 : 0
Campos
24 Apr
Campos
1 : 2
Platges de Calvia
16 Apr
Constancia
3 : 0
Campos
12 Apr
Campos
1 : 4
Porreres
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UD Alaro

(Away)
15 May
Collerense
3 : 0
UD Alaro
07 May
UD Alaro
0 : 4
Alcudia
29 Apr
UD Poblense
4 : 0
UD Alaro
24 Apr
UD Alaro
0 : 1
Mercadal
17 Apr
Formentera
3 : 0
UD Alaro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Formentera 38 20 13 5 41:13 73
2 Llosetense 38 20 12 6 66:35 72
3 Pena Deportiva 38 21 9 8 57:40 72
4 Mercadal 38 19 10 9 64:32 67
5 Constancia 38 19 9 10 64:42 66
6 UD Poblense 38 18 12 8 64:37 66
7 Binissalem 38 17 15 6 63:33 66
8 Soller 38 13 14 11 52:54 53
9 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 38 14 8 16 43:50 50
10 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 12 14 45:43 48
11 CD Montuiri 38 12 9 17 49:58 45
12 Campos 38 10 13 15 34:44 43
13 Collerense 38 11 10 17 42:52 43
14 UD Alaro 38 10 12 16 44:55 42
15 Alcudia 38 9 15 14 32:52 42
16 Ferriolense 38 10 11 17 39:50 41
17 Platges de Calvia 38 7 20 11 32:41 41
18 CD Son Cladera 38 9 8 21 30:65 35
19 Manacor 38 6 13 19 36:65 31
20 Atletico Rafal 38 5 11 22 37:73 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)