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Canaa U20 vs Capital DF U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Capital DF U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Canaa U20
15%
Draws
39%
Capital DF U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canaa U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Capital DF U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Capital DF U20 a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Capital DF U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Capital DF U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Canaa U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Capital DF U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canaa U20 Capital DF U20
Matches Played 36 35
Wins 24 25
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.97 3.43
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Capital DF U20 vs Canaa U20
1:1
Jul 29, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Canaa U20 vs Capital DF U20
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canaa U20 18 / 100
Capital DF U20 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canaa U20 Capital DF U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capital DF U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Canaa U20 scored in 89% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Canaa U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Capital DF U20 has conceded goals in 51% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

Canaa U20 VS Capital DF U20
4 Goals Scored 6
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Canaa U20

(Home)
08 Aug
Canaa U20
0 : 2
Sobradinho U20
01 Aug
Sobradinho U20
1 : 2
Canaa U20
26 Jul
Planaltina U20
1 : 2
Canaa U20
18 Jul
Canaa U20
5 : 0
Brasilia U20
11 Jul
Canaa U20
7 : 0
Paranoa U20
Page 1 of 8

Capital DF U20

(Away)
23 Aug
Capital DF U20
1 : 0
Sobradinho U20
15 Aug
Sobradinho U20
1 : 0
Capital DF U20
08 Aug
Capital DF U20
5 : 0
Planaltina U20
02 Aug
Planaltina U20
1 : 1
Capital DF U20
25 Jul
Capital DF U20
7 : 2
Gama U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Capital DF U20 9
ARUC U20 0
Canaa U20 2
Santa Maria U20 0
Brasiliense U20 4
Brazlandia U20 2
Gama U20 3
Luziania U20 1
Semi-finals
Capital DF U20 2
Canaa U20 1
Brasiliense U20 1
Gama U20 2
Final
Capital DF U20 0
Gama U20 1