Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Canada U17 vs Japan U17

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Yoshida M.
21' Event
Kitahara M.
55' Event

AI Match Summary

Japan U17 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Japan U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Canada U17
15%
Draws
61%
Japan U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Japan U17 lately — more wins on the board than Canada U17.
  • Win probability leans Japan U17's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Canada U17 Clean Sheet 17%
Japan U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canada U17 Japan U17
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 15 18
Draws 1 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.36 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2025 Friendly International
Canada U17 vs Japan U17
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canada U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Japan U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoshida M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kitahara M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada U17 12 / 100
Japan U17 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canada U17 Japan U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Canada U17 scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Japan U17 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Canada U17 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Canada U17 VS Japan U17
1.86 Goals Scored 1.5
1.29 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Canada U17

(Home)
11 Feb
Canada U17
1 : 3
Jamaica U17
08 Feb
Aruba U17
1 : 5
Canada U17
06 Feb
Canada U17
3 : 0
Cayman Islands U17
14 Nov
Ireland U17
2 : 1
Canada U17
11 Nov
Chile U17
2 : 1
Canada U17
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Japan U17

(Away)
22 May
China U17
2 : 3
Japan U17
19 May
Japan U17
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U17
15 May
Japan U17
5 : 0
Tajikistan U17
12 May
Japan U17
3 : 1
Indonesia U17
09 May
China U17
1 : 2
Japan U17
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