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Canada vs Ecuador

World World

Friendly International 2025 BMO Field, Toronto, ON
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Ahmed A.
46'
Sub
Angulo N. In: Plata G.
Out: Angulo N.
56'
Buchanan T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Canada
20%
Draws
40%
Ecuador
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Canada have won more games recently than Ecuador.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Canada Clean Sheet 68%
Ecuador Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canada Ecuador
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 8 13
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.57 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 Friendly International
Canada vs Ecuador
0:0
Jun 1, 2011 Friendly International
Canada vs Ecuador
2:2
Jan 20, 2002 Gold Cup
Canada vs Ecuador
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada 41 / 100
Ecuador 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canada Ecuador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canada scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Canada remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ecuador let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Canada VS Ecuador
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Canada

(Home)
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
28 Jun
South Africa
0 : 1
Canada
24 Jun
Switzerland
2 : 1
Canada
18 Jun
Canada
6 : 0
Qatar
12 Jun
Canada
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
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Ecuador

(Away)
01 Jul
Mexico
2 : 0
Ecuador
25 Jun
Ecuador
2 : 1
Germany
21 Jun
Ecuador
0 : 0
Curacao
14 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 0
Ecuador
07 Jun
Ecuador
3 : 0
Guatemala
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