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Stadium Background

Canada vs El Salvador

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Shell Energy Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Ortiz S.
20'
Dominguez R.
25'
De Fougerolles L.

AI Match Summary

Canada in this Gold Cup matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Canada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Canada
28%
Draws
22%
El Salvador
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Canada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • El Salvador haven't matched Canada's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Canada's way, sitting at 50%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Gold Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Canada have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Canada Clean Sheet 68%
El Salvador Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canada El Salvador
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 15 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2025 Gold Cup
Canada vs El Salvador
2:0
Feb 3, 2022 World Championship
El Salvador vs Canada
0:2
Sep 8, 2021 World Championship
Canada vs El Salvador
3:0
Oct 8, 2017 Friendly International
Canada vs El Salvador
0:1
Sep 7, 2016 World Championship
Canada vs El Salvador
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canada Compare

Top Goalscorer David J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buchanan T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

El Salvador Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada 59 / 100
El Salvador 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canada El Salvador

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canada scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: El Salvador conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Canada went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Canada VS El Salvador
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico32105:27
2Costa Rica32106:47
3Dominican Republic30123:51
4Suriname30123:61
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canada32109:17
2Honduras32014:76
3Curacao30212:32
4El Salvador30120:41
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panama330010:39
2Guatemala32014:36
3Jamaica31023:63
4Guadeloupe30035:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1USA33008:19
2Saudi Arabia31112:24
3Trinidad & Tobago30212:72
4Haiti30122:41