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Canada vs Peru - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Saputo Stadium, Montreal, QC
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Shaffelburg J.
Assist: Jebbison D.
35' Event
Shaffelburg J.
46'
Sub
Valera A. In: Lapadula G.
Out: Valera A.

AI Match Summary

Canada in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Canada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Canada
15%
Draws
8%
Peru
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Peru haven't matched Canada's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Canada's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Canada have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Canada Clean Sheet 68%
Peru Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canada Peru
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.48 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Friendly International
Canada vs Peru
2:0
Jun 25, 2024 Copa América
Peru vs Canada
0:1
Sep 4, 2010 Friendly International
Canada vs Peru
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canada Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaffelburg J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Peru Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada 95 / 100
Peru 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canada Peru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Canada scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Peru's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Canada has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Canada VS Peru
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Canada

(Home)
07 Oct
USA
1 : 0
Canada
03 Oct
Canada
2 : 0
Peru
26 Sept
Canada
1 : 0
Chile
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
28 Jun
South Africa
0 : 1
Canada
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Peru

(Away)
06 Oct
Colombia
2 : 0
Peru
03 Oct
Canada
2 : 0
Peru
30 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1
Peru
26 Sept
USA
4 : 1
Peru
09 Jun
Peru
1 : 3
Spain
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