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Canada W vs Denmark W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women Saputo Stadium, Montreal, QC
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Canada W host Denmark W in the Friendly International Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Denmark W have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Canada W have conceded 0.82 and scored 1.93. Past meetings favor Canada W slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2017, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.38, favoring Canada W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Canada W
20%
Draws
38%
Denmark W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Canada W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Canada W come out ahead of Denmark W on wins alone.
  • Canada W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Canada W Clean Sheet 68%
Denmark W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canada W Denmark W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.93 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2017 Algarve Cup Women
Denmark W vs Canada W
0:1
Mar 2, 2016 Algarve Cup Women
Canada W vs Denmark W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada W 86 / 100
Denmark W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canada W Denmark W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canada W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canada W found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Denmark W let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Canada W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Canada W VS Denmark W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Canada W

(Home)
10 Jun
Costa Rica W
0 : 6
Canada W
19 Apr
Brazil W
1 : 0
Canada W
14 Apr
Canada W
3 : 1
South Korea W
11 Apr
Canada W
4 : 0
Zambia W
07 Mar
Canada W
1 : 0
Argentina W
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Denmark W

(Away)
09 Jun
Serbia W
1 : 4
Denmark W
05 Jun
Denmark W
2 : 1
Sweden W
18 Apr
Denmark W
0 : 0
Italy W
14 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 2
Denmark W
07 Mar
Italy W
1 : 1
Denmark W
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