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Canberra Croatia vs Canberra Olympic

Australia Australia

NPL ACT Deakin Stadium, Canberra
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
James T.
(Penalty)
56' Event
Katsoulis M.
76' Event
Lee Eun-pyo

AI Match Summary

Canberra Croatia in this NPL ACT matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Canberra Croatia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Canberra Croatia
15%
Draws
31%
Canberra Olympic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canberra Croatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Canberra Croatia have won more games recently than Canberra Olympic.
  • Canberra Croatia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL ACT form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Canberra Croatia here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Canberra Croatia Clean Sheet 17%
Canberra Olympic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canberra Croatia Canberra Olympic
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 23 15
Draws 2 3
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.74 2.22
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 NPL ACT
Canberra Croatia vs Canberra Olympic
3:0
Apr 11, 2026 NPL ACT
Canberra Olympic vs Canberra Croatia
1:5
Aug 25, 2024 NPL ACT
Canberra Croatia vs Canberra Olympic
3:2
Jun 29, 2024 NPL ACT
Canberra Olympic vs Canberra Croatia
1:6
May 11, 2024 NPL ACT
Canberra Olympic vs Canberra Croatia
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canberra Croatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Katsoulis M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lee Eun-pyo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Canberra Olympic Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canberra Croatia 84 / 100
Canberra Olympic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canberra Croatia Canberra Olympic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canberra Croatia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Canberra Croatia scored in 88% of their last 34 outings.

Canberra Olympic has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Canberra Croatia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Canberra Croatia VS Canberra Olympic
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Canberra Croatia

(Home)
13 Sept
Canberra Croatia
0 : 3
Tigers FC
05 Sept
Canberra Croatia
1 : 0
Queanbeyan City
22 Aug
Canberra Croatia
4 : 0
Belconnen United
15 Aug
Monaro Panthers
2 : 3
Canberra Croatia
08 Aug
Canberra Croatia
5 : 4
O'Connor Knights
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Canberra Olympic

(Away)
22 Aug
Canberra Olympic
5 : 4
Brindabella Blues
16 Aug
Belconnen United
1 : 3
Canberra Olympic
08 Aug
Canberra Olympic
2 : 5
Tigers FC
01 Aug
Canberra Olympic
1 : 2
Tuggeranong United
25 Jul
Canberra Olympic
2 : 2
Queanbeyan City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canberra Croatia 20 17 1 2 64:24 52
2 Monaro Panthers 20 15 1 4 71:26 46
3 Tigers FC 20 14 2 4 59:24 44
4 Tuggeranong United 20 14 0 6 49:39 42
5 Queanbeyan City 20 12 2 6 42:28 38
6 Canberra Juventus 20 11 0 9 39:39 33
7 Canberra Olympic 20 7 2 11 45:55 23
8 O'Connor Knights 20 6 2 12 24:39 20
9 Belconnen United 20 2 3 15 25:50 9
10 Brindabella Blues 20 3 0 17 15:66 9
11 Canberra White Eagles 20 2 1 17 17:60 7
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)