Sport Picks
Canberra Olympic vs Canberra Croatia
Australia
NPL ACT O'Connor Enclosed Oval, Canberra 
Match Events
12'
12'
Timotheou G.
Own Goal
24'
24'
Ahmed-Shaibu L.
50'
50'
Jadric N.
AI Match Summary
Canberra Croatia in this NPL ACT matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Canberra Croatia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canberra Croatia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Canberra Croatia lately — more wins on the board than Canberra Olympic.
- Win probability leans Canberra Croatia's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
- Canberra Croatia have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Canberra Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
Canberra Croatia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Canberra Olympic | Canberra Croatia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 21 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.26 | 2.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.35 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2026 NPL ACT
Canberra Croatia vs Canberra Olympic
3:0
Apr 11, 2026 NPL ACT
Canberra Olympic vs Canberra Croatia
1:5
Aug 25, 2024 NPL ACT
Canberra Croatia vs Canberra Olympic
3:2
Jun 29, 2024 NPL ACT
Canberra Olympic vs Canberra Croatia
1:6
May 11, 2024 NPL ACT
Canberra Olympic vs Canberra Croatia
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Canberra Olympic Compare
Top Goalscorer Ahmed-Shaibu L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Canberra Croatia Compare
Top Goalscorer Whitehead S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jadric N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Canberra Olympic 14 / 100
Canberra Croatia 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Canberra Olympic Canberra Croatia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Canberra Croatia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Canberra Olympic found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).
These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Canberra Croatia conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.
Recent resilience: Canberra Olympic stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Canberra Olympic VS Canberra Croatia
1.5 Goals Scored 2.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Canberra Olympic
(Home) 22 Aug
Canberra Olympic
5 : 4 Brindabella Blues
16 Aug
Belconnen United
1 : 3 Canberra Olympic
08 Aug
Canberra Olympic
2 : 5 Tigers FC
01 Aug
Canberra Olympic
1 : 2 Tuggeranong United
25 Jul
Canberra Olympic
2 : 2 Queanbeyan City
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22 Aug
Canberra Olympic
5 : 4 Brindabella Blues
08 Aug
Canberra Olympic
2 : 5 Tigers FC
01 Aug
Canberra Olympic
1 : 2 Tuggeranong United
25 Jul
Canberra Olympic
2 : 2 Queanbeyan City
11 Jul
Canberra Olympic
2 : 1 Canberra White Eagles
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Canberra Croatia
(Away) 13 Sept
Canberra Croatia
0 : 3 Tigers FC
05 Sept
Canberra Croatia
1 : 0 Queanbeyan City
22 Aug
Canberra Croatia
4 : 0 Belconnen United
15 Aug
Monaro Panthers
2 : 3 Canberra Croatia
08 Aug
Canberra Croatia
5 : 4 O'Connor Knights
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15 Aug
Monaro Panthers
2 : 3 Canberra Croatia
21 Jul
Canberra Juventus
2 : 5 Canberra Croatia
20 Jun
Tigers FC
1 : 1 Canberra Croatia
17 Jun
Canberra White Eagles
1 : 2 Canberra Croatia
30 May
Belconnen United
1 : 4 Canberra Croatia
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canberra Croatia | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 64:24 | 52 |
| 2 | Monaro Panthers | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 71:26 | 46 |
| 3 | Tigers FC | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 59:24 | 44 |
| 4 | Tuggeranong United | 20 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 49:39 | 42 |
| 5 | Queanbeyan City | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 42:28 | 38 |
| 6 | Canberra Juventus | 20 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 39:39 | 33 |
| 7 | Canberra Olympic | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 45:55 | 23 |
| 8 | O'Connor Knights | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 24:39 | 20 |
| 9 | Belconnen United | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 25:50 | 9 |
| 10 | Brindabella Blues | 20 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 15:66 | 9 |
| 11 | Canberra White Eagles | 20 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 17:60 | 7 |
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
