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Canberra Olympic vs O'Connor Knights

Australia Australia

NPL ACT AIS Grass Field, Canberra
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Ahmed-Shaibu L.
36'
Abdi K.
40' Event
Timotheou A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL ACT game between Canberra Olympic and O'Connor Knights finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canberra Olympic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Canberra Olympic
30%
Draws
29%
O'Connor Knights
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Canberra Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Canberra Olympic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Canberra Olympic's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Canberra Olympic Clean Sheet 14%
O'Connor Knights Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canberra Olympic O'Connor Knights
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 2.33 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.37 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 NPL ACT
O'Connor Knights vs Canberra Olympic
1:0
May 13, 2026 NPL ACT
Canberra Olympic vs O'Connor Knights
3:1
Aug 31, 2024 NPL ACT
Canberra Olympic vs O'Connor Knights
4:3
Jul 6, 2024 NPL ACT
O'Connor Knights vs Canberra Olympic
3:0
May 18, 2024 NPL ACT
O'Connor Knights vs Canberra Olympic
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canberra Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmed-Shaibu L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Timotheou A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

O'Connor Knights Compare

Top Goalscorer Galic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canberra Olympic 39 / 100
O'Connor Knights 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canberra Olympic O'Connor Knights

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canberra Olympic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canberra Olympic scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

O'Connor Knights let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Canberra Olympic stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Canberra Olympic VS O'Connor Knights
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Canberra Olympic

(Home)
22 Aug
Canberra Olympic
5 : 4
Brindabella Blues
16 Aug
Belconnen United
1 : 3
Canberra Olympic
08 Aug
Canberra Olympic
2 : 5
Tigers FC
01 Aug
Canberra Olympic
1 : 2
Tuggeranong United
25 Jul
Canberra Olympic
2 : 2
Queanbeyan City
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O'Connor Knights

(Away)
22 Aug
Queanbeyan City
1 : 0
O'Connor Knights
15 Aug
O'Connor Knights
3 : 1
Canberra White Eagles
08 Aug
Canberra Croatia
5 : 4
O'Connor Knights
01 Aug
Monaro Panthers
1 : 1
O'Connor Knights
25 Jul
Belconnen United
1 : 1
O'Connor Knights
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canberra Croatia 20 17 1 2 64:24 52
2 Monaro Panthers 20 15 1 4 71:26 46
3 Tigers FC 20 14 2 4 59:24 44
4 Tuggeranong United 20 14 0 6 49:39 42
5 Queanbeyan City 20 12 2 6 42:28 38
6 Canberra Juventus 20 11 0 9 39:39 33
7 Canberra Olympic 20 7 2 11 45:55 23
8 O'Connor Knights 20 6 2 12 24:39 20
9 Belconnen United 20 2 3 15 25:50 9
10 Brindabella Blues 20 3 0 17 15:66 9
11 Canberra White Eagles 20 2 1 17 17:60 7
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)