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Canberra Olympic vs Tuggeranong United

Australia Australia

NPL ACT O'Connor Enclosed Oval, Canberra
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
04:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Canberra Olympic host Tuggeranong United in the NPL ACT. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Tuggeranong United have shipped 2.38 goals a game lately, while Canberra Olympic have conceded 2.5 and scored 1.88. Past meetings favor Tuggeranong United slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 6:4. xG projections (2.13 - 2.31) back Tuggeranong United to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Canberra Olympic
22%
Draws
60%
Tuggeranong United
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tuggeranong United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tuggeranong United come out ahead of Canberra Olympic on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tuggeranong United's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • History favors Tuggeranong United here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Canberra Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
Tuggeranong United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canberra Olympic Tuggeranong United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 3 2
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Canberra Olympic
6:4
Aug 18, 2024 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Canberra Olympic
4:1
Jun 23, 2024 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Canberra Olympic
1:0
May 4, 2024 NPL ACT
Canberra Olympic vs Tuggeranong United
1:2
Aug 12, 2023 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Canberra Olympic
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canberra Olympic 18 / 100
Tuggeranong United 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canberra Olympic Tuggeranong United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canberra Olympic found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Tuggeranong United conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Canberra Olympic has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Canberra Olympic VS Tuggeranong United
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Canberra Olympic

(Home)
25 Jul
Canberra Olympic
2 : 2
Queanbeyan City
11 Jul
Canberra Olympic
2 : 1
Canberra White Eagles
05 Jul
Canberra Croatia
3 : 0
Canberra Olympic
27 Jun
O'Connor Knights
1 : 0
Canberra Olympic
20 Jun
Canberra Olympic
2 : 5
Monaro Panthers
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Tuggeranong United

(Away)
25 Jul
Tigers FC
4 : 1
Tuggeranong United
22 Jul
Tuggeranong United
2 : 1
Canberra White Eagles
11 Jul
Tuggeranong United
1 : 0
Belconnen United
28 Jun
Canberra Croatia
1 : 2
Tuggeranong United
13 Jun
O'Connor Knights
2 : 3
Tuggeranong United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canberra Croatia16131248:1840
2Monaro Panthers16130356:2239
3Tigers FC17112447:2135
4Tuggeranong United16110537:3433
5Canberra Juventus16100634:2930
6Queanbeyan City1582532:2326
7Canberra Olympic1652934:4317
8O'Connor Knights16511016:3116
9Belconnen United16231124:359
10Canberra White Eagles17211414:487
11Brindabella Blues1520138:466
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capital Premier League 2027 (Main)