Sport Picks
Canberra Olympic vs Tuggeranong United
Australia
NPL ACT O'Connor Enclosed Oval, Canberra 
Match Events
45'
45'
Celis D.
45'
45'
Timotheou G.
Own Goal
70'
70'
Ceruti J.
AI Match Summary
The NPL ACT game between Canberra Olympic and Tuggeranong United finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tuggeranong United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tuggeranong United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tuggeranong United come out ahead of Canberra Olympic on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
- History favors Tuggeranong United here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Canberra Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
Tuggeranong United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Canberra Olympic | Tuggeranong United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 17 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.26 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.35 | 2.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 NPL ACT
Canberra Olympic vs Tuggeranong United
1:2
May 9, 2026 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Canberra Olympic
6:4
Aug 18, 2024 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Canberra Olympic
4:1
Jun 23, 2024 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Canberra Olympic
1:0
May 4, 2024 NPL ACT
Canberra Olympic vs Tuggeranong United
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Canberra Olympic Compare
Top Goalscorer Celis D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Tuggeranong United Compare
Top Goalscorer Ceruti J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Canberra Olympic 30 / 100
Tuggeranong United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Canberra Olympic Tuggeranong United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Canberra Olympic found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).
Defensive concern: Tuggeranong United conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Canberra Olympic has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Canberra Olympic VS Tuggeranong United
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Canberra Olympic
(Home) 22 Aug
Canberra Olympic
5 : 4 Brindabella Blues
16 Aug
Belconnen United
1 : 3 Canberra Olympic
08 Aug
Canberra Olympic
2 : 5 Tigers FC
01 Aug
Canberra Olympic
1 : 2 Tuggeranong United
25 Jul
Canberra Olympic
2 : 2 Queanbeyan City
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22 Aug
Canberra Olympic
5 : 4 Brindabella Blues
08 Aug
Canberra Olympic
2 : 5 Tigers FC
01 Aug
Canberra Olympic
1 : 2 Tuggeranong United
25 Jul
Canberra Olympic
2 : 2 Queanbeyan City
11 Jul
Canberra Olympic
2 : 1 Canberra White Eagles
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Tuggeranong United
(Away) 29 Aug
Tuggeranong United
0 : 2 Queanbeyan City
22 Aug
Tuggeranong United
2 : 0 Canberra Juventus
12 Aug
Brindabella Blues
0 : 6 Tuggeranong United
05 Aug
Queanbeyan City
4 : 2 Tuggeranong United
01 Aug
Canberra Olympic
1 : 2 Tuggeranong United
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12 Aug
Brindabella Blues
0 : 6 Tuggeranong United
05 Aug
Queanbeyan City
4 : 2 Tuggeranong United
01 Aug
Canberra Olympic
1 : 2 Tuggeranong United
25 Jul
Tigers FC
4 : 1 Tuggeranong United
28 Jun
Canberra Croatia
1 : 2 Tuggeranong United
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canberra Croatia | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 64:24 | 52 |
| 2 | Monaro Panthers | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 71:26 | 46 |
| 3 | Tigers FC | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 59:24 | 44 |
| 4 | Tuggeranong United | 20 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 49:39 | 42 |
| 5 | Queanbeyan City | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 42:28 | 38 |
| 6 | Canberra Juventus | 20 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 39:39 | 33 |
| 7 | Canberra Olympic | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 45:55 | 23 |
| 8 | O'Connor Knights | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 24:39 | 20 |
| 9 | Belconnen United | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 25:50 | 9 |
| 10 | Brindabella Blues | 20 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 15:66 | 9 |
| 11 | Canberra White Eagles | 20 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 17:60 | 7 |
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
