Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cancun vs Atlante

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo, Cancún
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Rodriguez J.
Assist: Trejo C.
22'
Gonzalez D.
37' Event
Puente L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Cancun in this Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cancun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cancun
35%
Draws
18%
Atlante
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cancun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cancun lately — more wins on the board than Atlante.
  • Win probability leans Cancun's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Cancun Clean Sheet 68%
Atlante Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cancun Atlante
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Atlante
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Atlante vs Cancun
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Atlante vs Cancun
4:1
Oct 13, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Atlante
1:1
May 19, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Atlante vs Cancun
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cancun Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Atlante Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cancun 95 / 100
Atlante 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cancun Atlante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cancun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cancun scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Atlante has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Cancun has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cancun VS Atlante
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cancun

(Home)
16 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1
Cancun
12 Sept
Correcaminos
2 : 2
Cancun
06 Sept
Cancun
6 : 0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
28 Aug
Cancun
1 : 2
Atletico La Paz
23 Aug
Piratas
0 : 1
Cancun
Page 1 of 6

Atlante

(Away)
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlante
1 : 1
Club Leon
22 Aug
Tigres UANL
2 : 0
Atlante
15 Aug
Atlante
0 : 0
Toluca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tepatitlan de Morelos 14 7 5 2 21:10 26
2 Cancun 14 7 4 3 24:17 25
3 Club Atletico Morelia 14 7 2 5 18:12 23
4 Atletico La Paz 14 5 7 2 22:12 22
5 Jaiba Brava 14 6 3 5 15:15 21
6 Zacatecas Mineros 14 6 3 5 19:20 21
7 Tapatio 14 6 2 6 28:24 20
8 Atlante 14 5 5 4 21:17 20
9 Irapuato 14 6 2 6 27:24 20
10 Tlaxcala 14 5 5 4 16:17 20
11 Venados FC 14 4 4 6 25:25 16
12 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 14 4 4 6 20:29 16
13 Dorados de Sinaloa 14 3 4 7 17:28 13
14 Correcaminos 14 3 3 8 14:27 12
15 Leones Negros 14 2 5 7 15:25 11
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)