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Cancun vs Monterrey

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Ocampos L.
30' Event
38' Event
Ambriz F.

AI Match Summary

Monterrey in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monterrey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cancun
20%
Draws
51%
Monterrey
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monterrey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Very High Confidence
  • Cancun have won more games recently than Monterrey.
  • Monterrey are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Cancun Clean Sheet 14%
Monterrey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cancun Monterrey
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Cancun vs Monterrey
1:4
Dec 9, 2022 Club Friendly
Cancun vs Monterrey
0:0
Jun 27, 2021 Club Friendly
Cancun vs Monterrey
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cancun Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Monterrey Compare

Top Goalscorer Ocampos L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ambriz F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cancun 15 / 100
Monterrey 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cancun Monterrey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cancun scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Monterrey conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Solid form: Cancun remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cancun VS Monterrey
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cancun

(Home)
02 Aug
Cancun
0 : 2
Leones Negros
05 Jul
Cancun
0 : 3
UNAM Pumas
04 Jul
Cancun
1 : 0
Toluca
21 Jun
Cancun
1 : 4
Monterrey
03 May
Cancun
1 : 1
Jaiba Brava
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Monterrey

(Away)
05 Aug
Monterrey
1 : 2
Orlando City
02 Aug
Atlas
0 : 2
Monterrey
26 Jul
Necaxa
2 : 1
Monterrey
19 Jul
Monterrey
3 : 2
Santos Laguna
04 Jul
Atlante
1 : 1
Monterrey
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