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Cancun vs Venados FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo, Cancún
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cancun host Venados FC in the Liga de Expansion MX. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Cancun at 1.53 goals for, 1.34 against; Venados FC at 1.97 for, 1.79 against. Head-to-head, Cancun have won 1 to Venados FC's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 11, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.75) point toward Cancun. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Cancun
20%
Draws
42%
Venados FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Venados FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cancun come out ahead of Venados FC on wins alone.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Venados FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Cancun Clean Sheet 12%
Venados FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cancun Venados FC
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Venados FC vs Cancun
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Venados FC
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Venados FC
1:2
Sep 1, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Venados FC vs Cancun
4:0
Apr 4, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Venados FC vs Cancun
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cancun 30 / 100
Venados FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cancun Venados FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venados FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cancun scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Venados FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Cancun went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cancun VS Venados FC
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cancun

(Home)
04 Oct
Cancun
1 : 0
Tapatio
26 Sept
Tlaxcala
4 : 1
Cancun
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
16 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1
Cancun
12 Sept
Correcaminos
2 : 2
Cancun
Page 1 of 7

Venados FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Atletico La Paz
1 : 2
Venados FC
26 Sept
Venados FC
2 : 1
Club Atletico Morelia
19 Sept
Piratas
2 : 1
Venados FC
12 Sept
Venados FC
5 : 0
Tepatitlan de Morelos
06 Sept
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3
Venados FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico La Paz 12 7 2 3 28:15 23
2 Leones Negros 11 7 2 2 27:16 23
3 Club Atletico Morelia 12 7 2 3 22:13 23
4 Venados FC 11 6 1 4 26:21 19
5 Piratas 11 5 3 3 16:10 18
6 Zacatecas Mineros 11 5 2 4 23:19 17
7 Cancun 11 5 2 4 19:15 17
8 Alacranes de Durango 11 5 2 4 11:11 17
9 Correcaminos 12 4 4 4 20:20 16
10 Tapatio 11 4 2 5 19:19 14
11 Dorados de Sinaloa 11 3 4 4 20:20 13
12 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 12 4 1 7 10:23 13
13 Tlaxcala 11 3 3 5 19:23 12
14 Jaiba Brava 11 3 2 6 12:19 11
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 11 1 5 5 11:18 8
16 Tepatitlan de Morelos 11 2 1 8 9:30 7
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)