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Canelas 2010 vs AD Fafe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Silva J.
23'
Santos D. M.
27'
dos Santos Simao L. P.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2023/2024 game between Canelas 2010 and AD Fafe finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Fafe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Canelas 2010
30%
Draws
58%
AD Fafe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Fafe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Fafe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives AD Fafe a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Canelas 2010 Clean Sheet 24%
AD Fafe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canelas 2010 AD Fafe
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 17
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Liga 3
Canelas 2010 vs AD Fafe
0:2
Feb 17, 2024 Liga 3
AD Fafe vs Canelas 2010
2:1
Jan 28, 2024 Liga 3
AD Fafe vs Canelas 2010
0:0
Oct 29, 2023 Liga 3
Canelas 2010 vs AD Fafe
3:1
Jan 21, 2023 Liga 3
AD Fafe vs Canelas 2010
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canelas 2010 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

AD Fafe Compare

Top Goalscorer Serra Matos P. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Folha A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canelas 2010 10 / 100
AD Fafe 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canelas 2010 AD Fafe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Fafe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canelas 2010 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

AD Fafe let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.

Canelas 2010 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Fafe
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Canelas 2010

(Home)
04 May
Canelas 2010
0 : 2
AD Fafe
27 Apr
Anadia
1 : 0
Canelas 2010
14 Apr
Trofense
4 : 1
Canelas 2010
07 Apr
Canelas 2010
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
30 Mar
SC Vianense
0 : 0
Canelas 2010
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AD Fafe

(Away)
20 Sept
AD Fafe
4 : 0
Lajense
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1
AD Fafe
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
AD Fafe
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
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